The Atlanta Braves (51-27) ride a three-game win streak into a home contest versus the Minnesota Twins (40-40) at 7:20 PM ET on Tuesday.
The Twins are an underdog away (+127) against the Braves (-152). The matchup has an over/under set at 9 total runs.
The insights in the following article reference odds valid as of June 27, 2023 at 7:21 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Twins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -152 | +127 | 9 |
Braves Betting Insights
- This season, the Braves have won 44 out of the 67 games, or 65.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Atlanta has a record of 30-14 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -152 on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 60.3% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 44 of 78 opportunities.
- In 78 games with a spread this season, the Braves are 38-40-0 ATS.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 9-1 |
| Runs Per Game | 7.7 |
| HR | 27 |
| ERA | 3.60 |
| K/9 | 11.2 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have come away with nine wins in the 29 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Minnesota has a mark of 3-7 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +127 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 44.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Minnesota and its opponents have gone over in 34 of its 80 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Twins have posted a record of 38-42-0 against the spread this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 3.90 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Bryce Elder
- When Elder starts, his team is 8-7-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander did not allow a run in seven innings pitched on Thursday in his last outing, a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Elder will look to finish five or more innings for the 16th start in a row.
- He has finished five appearances without allowing an earned run in 15 chances this season.
- Elder’s team has a record of 8-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Elder’s team has won 11 of his 15 starts.
- Games started by Elder have a 5-9-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 38 | 36.2 | 47 | 5.40 | 7 | 10 |
| Nick Anderson | 30 | 32 | 35 | 3.38 | 13 | 1 |
| Kirby Yates | 27 | 30 | 41 | 3.00 | 5 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 26 | 25.2 | 31 | 3.51 | 5 | 0 |
| Collin McHugh | 23 | 31.2 | 21 | 3.69 | 6 | 0 |
Twins Probable Pitcher – Joe Ryan
- Ryan (8-4 with a 2.98 ERA and 100 strikeouts in 93 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Twins, his 16th of the season.
- His most recent appearance came on Thursday against the Boston Red Sox, when the right-hander threw nine scoreless innings while allowing three hits.
- Ryan will try to prolong a five-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.2 frames per outing).
- In three of his 15 total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
- The Twins have a 2-1 record in Ryan’s three starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Ryan’s team has a 9-6 record over his 15 starts.
- Ryan’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in nine of 15 games.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 35 | 34 | 34 | 2.91 | 10 | 1 |
| Jhoan Duran | 28 | 31 | 42 | 1.45 | 1 | 11 |
| Jovani Moran | 28 | 30.2 | 35 | 4.70 | 7 | 0 |
| Emilio Pagán | 27 | 33.1 | 30 | 4.05 | 0 | 0 |
| Brock Stewart | 24 | 25.2 | 35 | 0.70 | 7 | 1 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves are 30-10 this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
- Atlanta has collected five or more extra-base hits in 19 games this season, and has gone 18-1 in those outings.
- The team has totaled at least eight hits in 57 games this season, and is 41-16 in those contests.
- Atlanta is 41-8 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Braves have gone 15-8 in the 23 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Twins Hitting Trends
- They have won 32 of the 40 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Minnesota has gone 23-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 49 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 38-11.
- Minnesota has a 39-4 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 16 of their 26 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Braves vs. Twins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-152)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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