The Houston Astros (42-36) and St. Louis Cardinals (32-45) clash in the first of a three-game series on Tuesday at Busch Stadium, at 7:45 PM ET. The Astros are coming off a series defeat to the Dodgers, and the Cardinals a series split with the Cubs.
The Astros (-114 on the moneyline) and the Cardinals (-105) will play in a projected close contest. The contest has a set total of 7.5.
The betting trends in the following article use the latest odds as of June 27, 2023 at 7:22 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Cardinals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -114 | -105 | 7.5 |
Astros Betting Insights
- This season, the Astros have won 29 out of the 55 games, or 52.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Houston is 28-22 this season when entering a game favored by -114 or more on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 53.3% chance to win.
- Games involving Houston has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 39 of 78 chances this season.
- In 78 games with a spread this season, the Astros are 39-39-0 ATS.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 5.67 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
Cardinals Betting Insights
- The Cardinals have been underdogs in 31 games this season and have come away with the win 13 times (41.9%) in those contests.
- This season, St. Louis has come away with a win 13 times in 29 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- St. Louis and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 38 of its 77 opportunities.
- The Cardinals are 33-44-0 against the spread in their 77 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.46 |
| K/9 | 7.1 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – Framber Valdez
- When Valdez starts, his team is 8-7-0 against the spread this season.
- The left-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed four hits in eight innings pitched against the New York Mets on Wednesday.
- Valdez will look to finish five or more innings for the seventh start in a row.
- He has made 15 appearances and finished three of them without allowing an earned run.
- Valdez’s team has a record of 7-6 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Valdez’s team is 9-6 when he starts this season.
- Games started by Valdez have an 8-7-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 34 | 36 | 55 | 2.75 | 11 | 2 |
| Phil Maton | 34 | 38.2 | 43 | 1.86 | 5 | 0 |
| Héctor Neris | 32 | 31.2 | 35 | 1.14 | 15 | 2 |
| Rafael Montero | 32 | 31.1 | 36 | 7.76 | 5 | 1 |
| Ryan Pressly | 31 | 33.1 | 35 | 2.97 | 0 | 14 |
Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Jordan Montgomery
- Montgomery makes the start for the Cardinals, his 16th of the season. He is 4-7 with a 3.69 ERA and 79 strikeouts in 85 1/3 innings pitched.
- The lefty’s last appearance was on Tuesday, June 20 against the Washington Nationals, when he tossed seven innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up four hits.
- Montgomery will try to extend a six-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.7 innings per appearance).
- In three of his 15 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
- The Cardinals were the underdog on the moneyline for two Montgomery starts this season — they lost both.
- In Montgomery’s 15 starts, his team is 4-11.
- Montgomery has had 15 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in eight of those games.
Cardinals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew VerHagen | 32 | 35.1 | 36 | 4.33 | 7 | 0 |
| Jordan Hicks | 30 | 32.1 | 51 | 4.18 | 6 | 4 |
| Giovanny Gallegos | 27 | 29.2 | 29 | 3.64 | 8 | 8 |
| Génesis Cabrera | 26 | 28.2 | 34 | 5.02 | 5 | 0 |
| Chris Stratton | 26 | 37.2 | 40 | 4.30 | 1 | 0 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros have a 16-7 record this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
- Houston has collected at least five extra-base hits in 16 games this season, and has gone 11-5 in those contests.
- The club has strung together eight or more hits 54 times this season, and has a 42-12 record in those games.
- Houston has a 39-7 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Astros are 17-6 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Cardinals Hitting Trends
- They have won 27 of the 39 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 25 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 22-3.
- They have won 34 of the 53 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- St. Louis has a 31-7 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won nine of their 23 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Astros vs. Cardinals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cardinals (-105)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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