The San Diego Padres (37-41) visit the Pittsburgh Pirates (35-42) to start a three-game series at PNC Park, with first pitch at 7:05 PM ET on Tuesday. The Padres are coming off a series defeat to the Nationals, and the Pirates a series loss to the Marlins.
As the favorite, the Padres (-154 on the moneyline to win) play at the Pirates (+130). The matchup has an over/under of 9.5 total runs.
The insights in this article use the latest odds as of June 27, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -154 | +130 | 9.5 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have been favorites in 56 games this season and won 29 (51.8%) of those contests.
- San Diego has entered 32 games this season favored by -154 or more and is 17-15 in those contests.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 60.6% chance to win.
- So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 28 of 78 games with a total.
- In 78 games with a spread this season, the Padres are 36-42-0 ATS.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.27 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have won in 23, or 39.7%, of the 58 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This year, Pittsburgh has won 10 of 26 games when listed as at least +130 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 43.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 37 of its 77 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Pirates have an against the spread mark of 35-42-0 in 77 games with a line this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 1-9 |
| Runs Per Game | 1.9 |
| HR | 4 |
| ERA | 4.19 |
| K/9 | 8.0 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Reiss Knehr
- Knehr pitched in one game with a spread last season and his team failed to cover.
- The 26-year-old righty has pitched out of the bullpen already this season, but will make his first start.
- Knehr appeared in one game with his team as the moneyline favorite last season and won.
- The 26-year-old pitched in just one game last season, and his team won that game.
- He pitched in one game with a total last season, and the teams combined to hit the under.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Wilson | 34 | 37 | 40 | 2.43 | 16 | 0 |
| Tim Hill | 33 | 33.2 | 22 | 2.94 | 9 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 30 | 28.2 | 42 | 1.26 | 0 | 18 |
| Brent Honeywell Jr. | 26 | 38 | 35 | 3.32 | 3 | 0 |
| Luís Garcia | 26 | 23.2 | 24 | 5.32 | 8 | 0 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Rich Hill
- Hill (6-7) takes the mound first for the Pirates in his 16th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.45 ERA in 83 2/3 innings pitched, with 76 strikeouts.
- His last time out was on Wednesday against the Chicago Cubs, when the left-hander went 5 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing four hits.
- Hill is trying for his eighth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.5 innings per start.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in one of his 15 appearances this season.
- The Pirates have been the moneyline underdog in 11 of Hill’s starts this season, and they went 4-7 in those matchups.
- Hill’s team has a 7-8 record in his starts this season.
- Hill has started 15 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in seven of them.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauri Moreta | 32 | 33 | 44 | 3.82 | 4 | 1 |
| David Bednar | 29 | 30 | 34 | 1.50 | 0 | 15 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 19 | 24.1 | 14 | 5.18 | 3 | 2 |
| Chad Kuhl | 12 | 38.1 | 31 | 8.45 | 0 | 1 |
| Angel Perdomo | 10 | 10 | 15 | 3.60 | 1 | 0 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres have hit at least two homers in 31 games this season, and are 16-15 in those contests.
- San Diego is 13-6 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has racked up at least eight hits 41 times this season, and has a 28-13 record in those games.
- San Diego has a 30-4 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Padres are 20-14 over the 34 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 21 games this season and are 16-5 in those matchups.
- In 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 15-2.
- They have a record of 24-9 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Pittsburgh has won 21 of its 25 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 12-12 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Padres vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-154)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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