Jeimer Candelario brings a two-game homer streak into the Washington Nationals’ (30-47) game against the Seattle Mariners (37-39) at 9:40 PM ET on Monday, at T-Mobile Park.
The Mariners are favored at home (-259) against the Nationals (+214). The over/under for this game is set at 8.
The betting trends in the following article reference odds valid as of June 26, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mariners vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -259 | +214 | 8 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- This season, the Mariners have won 28 out of the 52 games, or 53.8%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Seattle has entered three games this season favored by -259 or more, and won each of those games.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 72.1% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
- Seattle and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 37 of 76 opportunities.
- In 76 games with a spread this season, the Mariners are 33-43-0 ATS.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 2.73 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been underdogs in 74 games this season and have come away with the win 28 times (37.8%) in those contests.
- Washington has a win-loss record of 3-8 when favored by +214 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 31.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Contests with Washington has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 36 of 77 chances this season.
- The Nationals are 43-34-0 against the spread in their 77 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.96 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Luis Castillo
- Castillo and his team are 4-11-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw five innings against the New York Yankees, giving up three earned runs while allowing four hits.
- Castillo has pitched five or more innings in 15 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has five appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 15 chances this season.
- Castillo’s team has a record of 6-7 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- In games Castillo has started, his team is 6-9.
- Out of Castillo’s 15 starts with a total this season, six have hit the over.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 37 | 31.1 | 57 | 3.73 | 6 | 1 |
| Gabe Speier | 33 | 27.1 | 26 | 2.63 | 7 | 0 |
| Paul Sewald | 31 | 30.1 | 41 | 2.67 | 0 | 13 |
| Justin Topa | 31 | 29.2 | 26 | 3.34 | 13 | 1 |
| Tayler Saucedo | 19 | 19.1 | 20 | 2.79 | 0 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Trevor Williams
- The Nationals are sending Williams (4-4) to the mound to make his 16th start of the season. He is 4-4 with a 4.14 ERA and 58 strikeouts in 76 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent time out on Wednesday against the St. Louis Cardinals, the right-hander threw six scoreless innings while surrendering five hits.
- Williams heads into this matchup with 12 outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
- He has made three appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
- The Nationals have an 8-7 record in Williams’ 15 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Williams’ team has compiled an 8-7 record in his 15 starts.
- Williams has had 15 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in five of those outings.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Harvey | 32 | 33 | 36 | 3.55 | 11 | 5 |
| Mason Thompson | 30 | 38.1 | 34 | 3.05 | 6 | 1 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 29 | 30 | 32 | 3.9 | 5 | 11 |
| Thad Ward | 19 | 29 | 26 | 6.21 | 0 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 14 | 17 | 12 | 8.47 | 1 | 0 |
Mariners Hitting Trends
- The Mariners are 18-8 this season in games when they send out two or more home runs.
- Seattle is 8-1 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has put up eight or more hits 48 times this season, and has a 29-19 record in those games.
- Seattle is 34-7 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Mariners are 21-7 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They are 9-6 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Washington has won nine of its 12 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 26 of the 52 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 29 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 19-10.
- In 16 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 7-9
Mariners vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-259)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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