The Atlanta Braves (50-27) host the Minnesota Twins (40-39) to start a three-game series at Truist Park, with first pitch at 7:20 PM ET on Monday. The Braves are coming off a series victory over the Reds, and the Twins a series split with the Tigers.
The Braves are favored (-230 moneyline odds to win) when they take the field at home against the Twins (+189). The over/under for this game is set at 8.5.
The insights in the following article reflect odds as of June 26, 2023 at 7:23 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Twins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -230 | +189 | 8.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have won 43, or 65.2%, of the 66 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Atlanta is 14-4 this season when entering a game favored by -230 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 69.7% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 44 of 77 games with a total.
- The Braves are 37-40-0 against the spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 9-1 |
| Runs Per Game | 7.9 |
| HR | 28 |
| ERA | 4.00 |
| K/9 | 10.8 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have won in nine, or 32.1%, of the 28 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This will be the worst odds to win that sportsbooks have assigned Minnesota this season with a +189 moneyline set for this game.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 34.6% chance of pulling out a win.
- Minnesota and its opponents have gone over in 34 of its 79 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Twins have an against the spread record of 38-41-0 in 79 games with a line this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.15 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Spencer Strider
- Strider and his team have a record of 8-7-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed eight hits in six innings pitched against the Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday.
- Strider will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
- He has finished three appearances without allowing an earned run in 15 chances this season.
- Strider’s team has a record of 13-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- In games Strider has started, his team is 13-2.
- Out of Strider’s 15 starts with a total this season, 11 have hit the over.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 38 | 36.2 | 47 | 5.4 | 7 | 10 |
| Nick Anderson | 30 | 32 | 35 | 3.38 | 13 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 26 | 25.2 | 31 | 3.51 | 5 | 0 |
| Kirby Yates | 26 | 29 | 39 | 3.1 | 5 | 0 |
| Collin McHugh | 22 | 31 | 21 | 3.77 | 5 | 0 |
Twins Probable Pitcher – Sonny Gray
- Gray makes the start for the Twins, his 16th of the season. He is 4-1 with a 2.44 ERA and 84 strikeouts in 81 2/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander’s most recent time out was on Wednesday against the Boston Red Sox, when he tossed five innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing six hits.
- Gray has pitched five or more innings in a game 13 times this year heading into this game.
- He has had three appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
- The Twins have a 2-2 record in Gray’s four starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Gray’s team has an 8-7 record in his starts this season.
- Gray’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in seven of 15 contests.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 35 | 34 | 34 | 2.91 | 10 | 1 |
| Jhoan Duran | 28 | 31 | 42 | 1.45 | 1 | 11 |
| Jovani Moran | 28 | 30.2 | 35 | 4.7 | 7 | 0 |
| Emilio Pagán | 26 | 33 | 29 | 3.82 | 0 | 0 |
| Brock Stewart | 24 | 25.2 | 35 | 0.7 | 7 | 1 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have a 29-10 record this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
- Atlanta has had at least five extra-base hits in 19 games this season, and has gone 18-1 in those outings.
- The club is 40-16 in the games this season it has collected eight or more hits.
- Atlanta is 41-8 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Braves are 15-8 in the 23 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Twins Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 40 games this season and are 32-8 in those matchups.
- In 24 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 23-1.
- They have a record of 38-11 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 43 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 39-4.
- They have a 16-10 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Braves vs. Twins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-230)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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