The Cincinnati Reds (41-37) are looking for another big outing from a slugger on a roll against the Baltimore Orioles (47-29) on Monday at 7:05 PM ET, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Matt McLain is currently on a two-game homer streak.
The Orioles are favored (-130 on the moneyline to win) when they take the field at home against the Reds (+110). The total for this game is set at 10.
The betting facts in what follows reference odds valid as of June 26, 2023 at 7:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Orioles vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | -130 | +110 | 10 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- This season, the Orioles have won 27 out of the 35 games, or 77.1%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Baltimore has a record of 22-6, a 78.6% win rate, when favored by -130 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 56.5% chance of a victory for the Orioles.
- Baltimore and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 38 of 76 opportunities.
- In 76 games with a spread this season, the Orioles are 47-29-0 ATS.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.91 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 59 games this year and have walked away with the win 29 times (49.2%) in those games.
- Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 22-27 when favored by +110 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The Reds have an implied victory probability of 47.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 45 of its 78 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Reds are 48-30-0 against the spread in their 78 games that had a posted line this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.9 |
| HR | 25 |
| ERA | 5.04 |
| K/9 | 7.5 |
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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Cole Irvin
- Irvin’s team is 1-4-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The left-hander last pitched out of the bullpen on Wednesday, when he threw one inning, giving up one earned run while allowing two hits to the Tampa Bay Rays.
- In five starts, Irvin has pitched through or past the fifth inning one time. He has a season average of 3.3 frames per outing.
- He has one appearance this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his seven chances this season.
- Irvin’s team is 2-0 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- In games Irvin has started, his team is 2-3.
- Games started by Irvin have a 3-2-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Baumann | 34 | 38.1 | 42 | 4.23 | 5 | 0 |
| Felix Bautista | 33 | 36.2 | 74 | 1.23 | 0 | 21 |
| Bryan Baker | 33 | 30.1 | 38 | 4.15 | 10 | 0 |
| Danny Coulombe | 32 | 26.2 | 35 | 2.36 | 16 | 0 |
| Yeinier Cano | 31 | 38 | 34 | 0.95 | 18 | 4 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Brandon Williamson
- The Reds are sending Williamson (1-0) to the mound to make his eighth start of the season. He is 1-0 with a 5.40 ERA and 27 strikeouts over 36 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last appearance on Monday, June 19, the lefty went five innings against the Colorado Rockies, allowing three earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Williamson will aim to go five or more innings for his fifth straight start. He’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing.
- He has not made an appearance so far in 2023 where he did not give up at least one earned run.
- The Reds have been the moneyline underdog in five of Williamson’s starts this season, and they went 4-1 in those matchups.
- Williamson’s team has a 6-1 record in his starts this season.
- Williamson has had seven starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and three of those games finished over the total.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 34 | 37.1 | 31 | 3.62 | 7 | 1 |
| Buck Farmer | 34 | 37.2 | 33 | 2.63 | 6 | 2 |
| Alex Young | 33 | 31.1 | 32 | 2.87 | 8 | 1 |
| Alexis Diaz | 32 | 33 | 56 | 1.91 | 1 | 21 |
| Lucas Sims | 27 | 28.2 | 37 | 3.45 | 11 | 0 |
Orioles Hitting Trends
- The Orioles have hit two or more homers in 33 games this season, and are 23-10 in those contests.
- Baltimore has had at least five extra-base hits in 21 games this season, and has gone 19-2 in those outings.
- The club has notched eight or more hits 49 times this season, and has a 34-15 record in those games.
- Baltimore has a 35-8 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Orioles are 17-3 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They have won 19 of the 22 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Cincinnati has gone 20-5 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 42 of the 60 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Cincinnati has won 45 of its 53 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 13-18 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Orioles vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-130)
Over/Under Pick: Over (10)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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