The New York Mets (35-42) and Milwaukee Brewers (40-37) square off on Monday at 7:10 PM ET, opening a four-game series at Citi Field.
The Brewers are road underdogs (+148) against the Mets (-176). The total for this game is set at 8.5.
The betting insights in the following article reference odds valid as of June 26, 2023 at 7:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -176 | +148 | 8.5 |
Mets Betting Insights
- This season, the Mets have won 27 out of the 52 games, or 51.9%, in which they’ve been favored.
- New York has a record of 7-9, a 43.8% win rate, when favored by -176 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 63.8% chance to win.
- Games involving New York has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 36 of 78 chances this season.
- In 78 games with a spread this season, the Mets are 30-48-0 ATS.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.14 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have come away with 18 wins in the 36 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Milwaukee has a mark of 1-3 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +148 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Brewers have a 40.3% chance of walking away with the win.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over in 33 of its 77 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Brewers have an against the spread record of 34-43-0 in 77 games with a line this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.0 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 3.54 |
| K/9 | 7.4 |
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Justin Verlander
- Verlander’s team is 1-8-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander gave up four earned runs and allowed eight hits in seven innings pitched against the Houston Astros on Wednesday.
- Verlander will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
- He has yet to finish an appearance without an earned run allowed this season.
- Verlander’s team is 3-4 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Verlander’s team is 3-6 when he starts this season.
- Games started by Verlander have a 3-5-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 33 | 31 | 33 | 3.77 | 8 | 5 |
| Brooks Raley | 31 | 26 | 27 | 2.77 | 14 | 1 |
| David Robertson | 29 | 33 | 40 | 1.64 | 6 | 11 |
| Jeff Brigham | 28 | 27.1 | 30 | 3.95 | 5 | 0 |
| Dominic Leone | 18 | 20.2 | 18 | 5.66 | 0 | 0 |
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Colin Rea
- Rea (3-4 with a 4.88 ERA and 54 strikeouts in 62 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Brewers, his 13th of the season.
- In his last appearance on Wednesday, the right-hander went 5 1/3 innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks, giving up four earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
- Rea will try to last five or more innings for his seventh straight appearance. He’s averaging 4.8 frames per outing.
- In two of his 13 total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
- The Brewers have a 4-2 record in Rea’s six starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Rea’s team has won seven of his 12 starts.
- Rea has had 12 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and five of those games hit the over.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 34 | 29.2 | 25 | 2.73 | 5 | 0 |
| Peter Strzelecki | 33 | 34.1 | 36 | 4.72 | 14 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 31 | 35.1 | 39 | 2.29 | 12 | 1 |
| Devin Williams | 25 | 25.2 | 35 | 1.75 | 0 | 13 |
| Bryse Wilson | 24 | 36 | 28 | 2.75 | 2 | 3 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets have hit at least two home runs in 24 games this season, and are 10-14 in those contests.
- New York has gone 6-4 in its 10 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has racked up at least eight hits in 45 games this season, and is 28-17 in those contests.
- New York has a 27-15 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Mets are 7-9 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Brewers Hitting Trends
- They are 31-6 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Milwaukee has collected five or more extra-base hits in six games this season and won each of them.
- In 38 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 29-9.
- Milwaukee has a 39-4 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 20 of their 27 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Mets vs. Brewers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mets (-176)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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