Twins vs. Tigers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 25, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 25, 2023

The Minnesota Twins (39-39) visit the Detroit Tigers (33-42) on Sunday at Comerica Park, at 12:10 PM ET.

The Twins are the road favorite (-130) versus the Tigers (+110). The over/under for this game is 8.

The betting trends in what follows use the latest odds as of June 25, 2023 at 11:17 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Twins vs Tigers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Twins -130 +110 8

Twins Betting Insights

  • This season, the Twins have been favored 49 times and won 30, or 61.2%, of those games.
  • Minnesota has entered 38 games this season favored by -130 or more and is 21-17 in those contests.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 56.5% chance of a victory for the Twins.
  • Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 33 of 78 opportunities.
  • The Twins are 37-41-0 against the spread in their 78 chances this season.

Twins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.5
HR 14
ERA 4.70
K/9 8.8

Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Tigers have come away with 28 wins in the 67 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Detroit has a win-loss record of 24-34 when favored by +110 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 47.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Detroit’s games have gone over the total in 40 of its 76 opportunities.
  • In 76 games with a line this season, the Tigers have a mark of 42-34-0 against the spread.

Tigers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 10
ERA 3.03
K/9 11.0

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Twins Probable Pitcher – Bailey Ober

  • Ober’s team is 5-6-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander gave up three earned runs in six innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Boston Red Sox.
  • Ober has pitched five or more innings in 11 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • He has two appearances with no earned runs allowed in 11 chances this season.
  • Ober’s team has been victorious in 57.1% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 4-3.
  • Ober’s team has won six of his 11 starts this season.
  • Out of Ober’s 11 starts with a total this season, one has hit the over.

Twins Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Griffin Jax 34 33 33 3.00 10 1
Jovani Moran 28 30.2 35 4.70 7 0
Jhoan Duran 27 30 41 1.50 1 10
Emilio Pagán 26 33 29 3.82 0 0
Brock Stewart 23 24.2 33 0.73 7 1

Tigers Probable Pitcher – Michael Lorenzen

  • Lorenzen (2-5 with a 4.00 ERA and 54 strikeouts in 72 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Tigers, his 13th of the season.
  • In his most recent outing on Tuesday against the Kansas City Royals, the right-hander threw six innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering six hits.
  • Lorenzen will look to go five or more innings for his 12th straight appearance. He’s averaging 6.0 frames per outing.
  • In three of his 12 total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
  • The Tigers have been the underdog on the moneyline in nine of Lorenzen’s starts this season, and they went 3-6 in those games.
  • Lorenzen’s team is 5-7 in his 12 starts.
  • Lorenzen’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in six of 12 games.

Tigers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jason Foley 32 33.1 28 2.43 13 3
Alex Lange 31 30.2 42 3.82 2 12
José Cisnero 30 29.1 31 2.15 7 1
Chasen Shreve 29 28.2 29 4.08 9 0
Mason Englert 21 42.1 31 4.68 2 0

Twins Hitting Trends

  • The Twins are 32-8 this season in games when they crush two or more long balls.
  • Minnesota has had five or more extra-base hits in 24 games this season, and has gone 23-1 in those contests.
  • The team has totaled at least eight hits in 48 games this season, and is 37-11 in those contests.
  • Minnesota is 38-4 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Twins have drawn at least five walks in 26 games this season, and are 16-10 in those contests.

Tigers Hitting Trends

  • They have won 10 of the 17 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • In 13 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 9-4.
  • They have won 33 of the 43 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Detroit has won 28 of its 35 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have won 14 of their 22 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Twins vs. Tigers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Twins (-130)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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