Dodgers vs. Astros Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 25, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 25, 2023

The Los Angeles Dodgers (43-33) will attempt to keep a four-game winning streak alive when they host the Houston Astros (41-36) at 7:10 PM ET on Sunday.

The favored Dodgers (-130 moneyline odds to win) play at home against the Astros (+109). The matchup has an over/under set at 8.5 total runs.

The betting insights in the following article use the latest odds as of June 25, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Dodgers vs Astros Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Dodgers -130 +109 8.5

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have entered the game as favorites 63 times this season and won 37, or 58.7%, of those games.
  • Los Angeles is 29-23 this season when entering a game favored by -130 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.5% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
  • Los Angeles and its opponents have hit the over in 41 of its 76 games with a total this season.
  • The Dodgers are 39-37-0 against the spread this season.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 9
ERA 4.79
K/9 9.0

Astros Betting Insights

  • The Astros have been underdogs in 22 games this season and have come away with the win 12 times (54.5%) in those contests.
  • This year, Houston has won five of 11 games when listed as at least +109 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Astros have an implied victory probability of 47.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Contests with Houston has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 38 of 77 chances this season.
  • The Astros are 38-39-0 against the spread in their 77 games that had a posted line this season.

Astros Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 12
ERA 5.50
K/9 8.7

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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Tony Gonsolin

  • Gonsolin and his team are 6-4-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, June 18, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings while giving up seven earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the San Francisco Giants.
  • Gonsolin has pitched five or more innings in eight straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • He has five appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 10 chances this season.
  • Gonsolin’s team has won 62.5% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (5-3).
  • Gonsolin’s team has won five of his 10 starts.
  • In games Gonsolin has started this season, the teams are 6-4-0 at hitting the over.

Dodgers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Yency Almonte 32 32.1 29 5.85 6 0
Brusdar Graterol 31 33 27 2.18 7 4
Caleb Ferguson 29 28 32 3.21 10 2
Evan Phillips 29 30.2 36 2.05 6 10
Phil Bickford 24 29 40 6.83 2 0

Astros Probable Pitcher – Hunter Brown

  • Brown (6-4 with a 3.78 ERA and 90 strikeouts in 81 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Astros, his 15th of the season.
  • The righty last appeared on Tuesday against the New York Mets, when he threw 5 2/3 innings, allowing six earned runs while giving up seven hits.
  • Brown will look to go five or more innings for his fourth straight start. He’s averaging 5.8 frames per outing.
  • In four of his 14 total appearances this season he has not allowed an earned run.
  • The Astros have been the underdog on the moneyline in three of Brown’s starts this season, and they went 2-1 in those matchups.
  • Brown’s team has an 8-6 record in his starts this season.
  • Brown’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in six of 14 contests.

Astros Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Bryan Abreu 34 36 55 2.75 11 2
Phil Maton 33 37.2 42 1.91 4 0
Héctor Neris 31 31.1 34 1.15 15 2
Rafael Montero 31 30.2 35 7.04 5 1
Ryan Pressly 30 31.1 34 3.16 0 14

Dodgers Hitting Trends

  • The Dodgers are 31-11 this season in games when they hit two or more bombs.
  • Los Angeles has gone 17-9 in its 26 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team is 34-14 in the games this season it has collected eight or more hits.
  • Los Angeles is 36-11 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Dodgers have gone 25-11 in the 36 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Astros Hitting Trends

  • They have won 15 of the 22 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Houston has won 11 of its 16 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 41 of the 53 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 45 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 38-7.
  • They have won 17 of their 23 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Dodgers vs. Astros Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Dodgers (-130)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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