Cubs vs. Cardinals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 25, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 24, 2023

The St. Louis Cardinals (31-45) will look to Jordan Walker, currently on a 14-game hitting streak, against the Chicago Cubs (37-38) at 10:10 AM ET on Sunday, at London Stadium.

The Cubs are favored (-160 on the moneyline) when they visit the Cardinals (+133). The total in the game is set at 11.5 total runs.

The betting insights in this article reference odds valid as of June 25, 2023 at 9:12 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Cubs vs Cardinals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Cubs -160 +133 11.5

Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Cubs have entered the game as favorites 38 times this season and won 22, or 57.9%, of those games.
  • This season Chicago has won four of its nine games, or 44.4%, when favored by at least -160 on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 61.5% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
  • Games involving Chicago has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 36 of 75 chances this season.
  • The Cubs have an ATS record of 40-35-0 in 75 games with a spread this season.

Cubs Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 9-1
Runs Per Game 7.4
HR 13
ERA 2.30
K/9 7.4

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Cardinals have been chosen as underdogs in 30 games this year and have walked away with the win 12 times (40%) in those games.
  • St. Louis has been listed as an underdog of +133 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cardinals have a 42.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • St. Louis and its opponents have gone over in 38 of its 76 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • In 76 games with a line this season, the Cardinals have a mark of 32-44-0 against the spread.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 15
ERA 5.76
K/9 6.7

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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Marcus Stroman

  • Stroman’s team is 9-7-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he allowed five hits in seven scoreless innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
  • Stroman will look to finish five or more innings for the eighth start in a row.
  • He has finished six appearances without allowing an earned run in 16 chances this season.
  • Stroman’s team has won 66.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-3).
  • Stroman’s team has won 10 of his 16 starts.
  • In games Stroman has started this season, the teams are 4-12-0 at hitting the over.

Cubs Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Michael Fulmer 32 32.2 37 4.96 6 1
Julian Merryweather 32 33.1 46 2.97 3 0
Mark Leiter Jr. 29 31.1 47 2.59 13 3
Adbert Alzolay 25 33 34 1.91 7 4
Michael Rucker 22 28.1 32 4.45 0 0

Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Matthew Liberatore

  • Liberatore (1-2) gets the starting nod for the Cardinals in his sixth start of the season. He has a 6.12 ERA in 25 2/3 innings pitched, with 18 strikeouts.
  • The lefty’s most recent appearance was on Sunday against the New York Mets, when he threw four innings, surrendering five earned runs while giving up four hits.
  • Liberatore is looking to record his fourth start of five or more innings this year in this outing.
  • He has had one outing this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Cardinals have a 1-3 record in Liberatore’s four starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Liberatore’s team has won two of his five starts.
  • Liberatore has had five starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and two of those matchups finished over the total.

Cardinals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Drew VerHagen 32 35.1 36 4.33 7 0
Chris Stratton 26 37.2 40 4.3 1 0
Giovanny Gallegos 26 28.2 28 3.77 7 8
Génesis Cabrera 25 27.1 32 5.27 4 0
Andre Pallante 23 27.2 25 4.23 6 0

Cubs Hitting Trends

  • The Cubs are 16-12 this season in games when they hit at least two bombs.
  • Chicago has gone 13-2 in its 15 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has totaled at least eight hits 50 times this season, and has a 36-14 record in those games.
  • Chicago has a 28-6 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Cubs are 16-14 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Cardinals Hitting Trends

  • They have won 27 of the 39 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • St. Louis has gone 22-3 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have won 33 of the 52 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • St. Louis has won 30 of its 37 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have won nine of their 23 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Cubs vs. Cardinals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-160)
Over/Under Pick: Under (11.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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