The Cleveland Guardians (37-39) host the Milwaukee Brewers (39-37) at 1:40 PM ET on Sunday, with both teams hoping to win the series.
The Guardians are favored (-109) in an expected close game against the Brewers (-109). The total for this game is set at 8.5.
The betting trends in this article reflect odds as of June 25, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Guardians vs Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Favorite | -109 | -109 | 8.5 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have been favorites in 41 games this season and won 22 (53.7%) of those contests.
- Cleveland has a record of 22-20, a 52.4% win rate, when favored by -109 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The Guardians have a 52.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving Cleveland has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 31 of 76 chances this season.
- The Guardians are 37-39-0 ATS in their 76 games with a spread this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 4.30 |
| K/9 | 8.0 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have been underdogs in 35 games this season and have come away with the win 17 times (48.6%) in those contests.
- This season, Milwaukee has come away with a win 17 times in 35 chances when named as an underdog of at least -109 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Brewers have a 52.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 32 of its 76 opportunities.
- The Brewers are 34-42-0 against the spread in their 76 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.0 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.93 |
| K/9 | 8.0 |
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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Aaron Civale
- Civale and his team have a record of 3-3-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed five hits in 6 2/3 innings pitched against the Oakland Athletics on Tuesday.
- Civale has started six games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings five times. He averages 5.5 innings per appearance.
- He has two appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his six chances this season.
- Civale’s team has won 66.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-1).
- Civale’s team is 3-3 when he starts this season.
- Out of Civale’s six starts with a total this season, two have hit the over.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 35 | 36.1 | 34 | 2.48 | 0 | 23 |
| Trevor Stephan | 33 | 32 | 36 | 2.25 | 11 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 31 | 31 | 28 | 2.90 | 5 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 29 | 32.1 | 31 | 1.67 | 5 | 1 |
| Nick Sandlin | 25 | 27.1 | 25 | 3.29 | 2 | 0 |
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Corbin Burnes
- The Brewers will send Burnes (5-5) out to make his 16th start of the season. He is 5-5 with a 3.96 ERA and 86 strikeouts through 88 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty’s last appearance was on Tuesday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, when he tossed five innings, surrendering seven earned runs while allowing eight hits.
- Burnes will aim to go five or more innings for his 14th straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.9 frames per outing.
- He has had three appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Brewers were named the moneyline underdog for two Burnes starts this season — they lost both.
- Over Burnes’ 15 starts, his team is 7-8.
- Burnes has had 15 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in nine of those games.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Strzelecki | 33 | 34.1 | 36 | 4.72 | 14 | 0 |
| Hoby Milner | 33 | 29.1 | 25 | 2.76 | 5 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 30 | 33.1 | 37 | 2.43 | 12 | 1 |
| Devin Williams | 24 | 24.2 | 35 | 1.82 | 0 | 13 |
| Bryse Wilson | 24 | 36 | 28 | 2.75 | 2 | 3 |
Guardians Hitting Trends
- The Guardians have put up at least two round-trippers in 10 games this season, and are 8-2 in those outings.
- Cleveland has gone 9-4 in its 13 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has strung together eight or more hits 44 times this season, and has a 24-20 record in those games.
- Cleveland has a 19-5 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Guardians are 11-9 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Brewers Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 37 games this season and are 31-6 in those matchups.
- Milwaukee has won each of its six games this season in which it has connected for five or more extra-base hits.
- They have a record of 28-9 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Milwaukee has a 38-4 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 26 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 19-7
Guardians vs. Brewers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Guardians (-109)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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