The Seattle Mariners (37-38) square off against the Baltimore Orioles (46-29) a game after Mike Ford hit a pair of home runs in a 6-4 defeat to the Orioles. The game begins at 1:35 PM ET on Sunday.
The Mariners are favored (-121 moneyline odds to win) when they visit the Orioles (+101). The game’s total is set at 8.5.
The insights in what follows use the latest odds as of June 25, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mariners vs Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -121 | +101 | 8.5 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- The Mariners have won 28, or 54.9%, of the 51 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Seattle is 23-18 this season when entering a game favored by -121 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.8% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
- Seattle and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 37 of 75 opportunities.
- The Mariners are 33-42-0 against the spread in their 75 chances this season.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 2.70 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have won in 19, or 47.5%, of the 40 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Baltimore has been victorious 15 times in 31 chances when named as an underdog of at least +101 or longer on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 49.8% chance of pulling out a win.
- Baltimore and its opponents have hit the over in 38 of its 75 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Orioles have posted a record of 46-29-0 against the spread this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 5.32 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
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Mariners Probable Pitcher – George Kirby
- Kirby and his team have a record of 6-8-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed eight hits in seven innings against the New York Yankees.
- Kirby has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has three appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 14 chances this season.
- Kirby’s team has a record of 7-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Kirby’s team has won seven of his 14 starts.
- Games Kirby has started this season hit the over seven times in 14 chances.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 36 | 30.2 | 56 | 3.82 | 6 | 1 |
| Gabe Speier | 32 | 26.1 | 25 | 2.73 | 7 | 0 |
| Paul Sewald | 31 | 30.1 | 41 | 2.67 | 0 | 13 |
| Justin Topa | 31 | 29.2 | 26 | 3.34 | 13 | 1 |
| Tayler Saucedo | 19 | 19.1 | 20 | 2.79 | 0 | 0 |
Orioles Probable Pitcher – Kyle Bradish
- Bradish (3-3) gets the starting nod for the Orioles in his 14th start of the season. He has a 3.88 ERA in 65 2/3 innings pitched, with 60 strikeouts.
- In his most recent outing on Tuesday against the Tampa Bay Rays, the right-hander threw five innings, allowing two earned runs while surrendering four hits.
- Bradish is trying for his fourth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.0 frames per start.
- He has had three appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Orioles have a 3-4 record in Bradish’s seven starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Bradish’s team is 8-5 in his 13 starts.
- Bradish’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in four of 13 contests.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Baumann | 34 | 38.1 | 42 | 4.23 | 5 | 0 |
| Bryan Baker | 33 | 30.1 | 38 | 4.15 | 10 | 0 |
| Felix Bautista | 32 | 35.2 | 71 | 1.26 | 0 | 20 |
| Yeinier Cano | 31 | 38 | 34 | 0.95 | 18 | 4 |
| Danny Coulombe | 31 | 25.2 | 34 | 2.45 | 15 | 0 |
Mariners Hitting Trends
- The Mariners have racked up at least two long balls in 26 games this season, and are 18-8 in those outings.
- Seattle is 8-1 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has strung together eight or more hits in 48 games this season, and is 29-19 in those contests.
- Seattle has a 34-7 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Mariners are 21-7 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Orioles Hitting Trends
- They are 23-10 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Baltimore has gone 19-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 49 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 34-15.
- In 43 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 35-8.
- They have a 17-3 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Mariners vs. Orioles Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (+101)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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