The Philadelphia Phillies (39-37) and New York Mets (35-41) square off on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park, attempting to break a 1-1 series tie.
The Mets are an away underdog (+159) at the Phillies (-190). The contest has an over/under of 9.5.
The betting trends in what follows reference odds valid as of June 25, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -190 | +159 | 9.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have been favorites in 45 games this season and won 26 (57.8%) of those contests.
- Philadelphia has a record of 7-5 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -190 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 65.5% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 29 of its 76 games with a total this season.
- The Phillies have an ATS record of 33-43-0 in 76 games with a spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 2.18 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have won in eight, or 32%, of the 25 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- New York has been listed as an underdog of +159 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 38.6% chance of walking away with the win.
- Contests with New York has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 35 of 77 chances this season.
- The Mets have posted a record of 29-48-0 against the spread this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.19 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Zack Wheeler
- Wheeler’s team is 7-8-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed six innings without allowing a run on six hits in a matchup with the Oakland Athletics.
- Wheeler has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has finished four appearances without allowing an earned run in 15 chances this season.
- Wheeler’s team has a record of 7-6 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Wheeler’s team has a 9-6 record in his starts this season.
- Games started by Wheeler have a 5-8-2 record at hitting the over this season.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Soto | 33 | 29.2 | 33 | 4.55 | 11 | 1 |
| Craig Kimbrel | 32 | 30 | 48 | 4.20 | 3 | 10 |
| Andrew Vasquez | 23 | 34 | 30 | 1.85 | 0 | 0 |
| José Alvarado | 21 | 21.1 | 34 | 2.11 | 5 | 6 |
| Yunior Marte | 19 | 17.2 | 19 | 6.62 | 1 | 1 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – Carlos Carrasco
- Carrasco gets the start for the Mets, his 10th of the season. He is 2-3 with a 6.34 ERA and 28 strikeouts in 44 2/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander last appeared on Sunday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when he tossed three innings, allowing five earned runs while giving up five hits.
- Carrasco has put up five starts this campaign that he pitched five or more innings.
- So far during the 2023 campaign he has surrendered one or more earned runs in all of his outings.
- The Mets have been the underdog on the moneyline in four of Carrasco’s starts this season, and they went 1-3 in those games.
- Carrasco’s team has won four of his nine starts.
- Carrasco has had nine starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and five of those games hit the over.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 33 | 31 | 33 | 3.77 | 8 | 5 |
| Brooks Raley | 31 | 26 | 27 | 2.77 | 14 | 1 |
| David Robertson | 29 | 33 | 40 | 1.64 | 6 | 11 |
| Jeff Brigham | 27 | 27 | 29 | 4.00 | 5 | 0 |
| Dominic Leone | 17 | 19.2 | 18 | 5.49 | 0 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have racked up at least two homers in 20 games this season, and are 14-6 in those outings.
- Philadelphia has put up at least five extra-base hits in 18 games this season, and has gone 13-5 in those contests.
- The club has strung together eight or more hits 51 times this season, and has a 31-20 record in those games.
- Philadelphia has a 28-5 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Phillies have drawn at least five walks in 23 games this season, and are 17-6 in those contests.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They have won 10 of the 23 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- New York has won six of its 10 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 44 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 28-16.
- New York has a 27-14 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 7-9 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Phillies vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-190)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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