Rays vs. Royals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 25, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 24, 2023

The Kansas City Royals (22-55) visit the Tampa Bay Rays (53-27) at 1:40 PM ET on Sunday.

The Rays are favored at home (-269) against the Royals (+222). The contest has an over/under of 9.

The betting facts in the article below are based off odds valid as of June 25, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Rays vs Royals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Rays -269 +222 9

Rays Betting Insights

  • The Rays have entered the game as favorites 69 times this season and won 48, or 69.6%, of those games.
  • Tampa Bay has entered seven games this season favored by -269 or more and is 5-2 in those contests.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 72.9% chance of a victory for the Rays.
  • Games involving Tampa Bay has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 45 of 80 chances this season.
  • The Rays are 47-33-0 against the spread this season.

Rays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 9
ERA 4.09
K/9 10.2

Royals Betting Insights

  • The Royals have been chosen as underdogs in 64 games this year and have walked away with the win 19 times (29.7%) in those games.
  • This year, Kansas City has won two of six games when listed as at least +222 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Royals have an implied victory probability of 31.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Kansas City’s games have gone over the total in 35 of its 77 opportunities.
  • The Royals have posted a record of 30-47-0 against the spread this season.

Royals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 9
ERA 5.69
K/9 7.1

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Rays Probable Pitcher – Tyler Glasnow

  • Glasnow’s team is 4-1-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander gave up six earned runs in 4 1/3 innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Baltimore Orioles.
  • In five starts this season, Glasnow has lasted five or more innings three times, with an average of 5.0 innings per appearance.
  • He has not pitched this season without allowing at least one earned run.
  • Glasnow’s team has been victorious in 60% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 3-2.
  • Glasnow’s team is 3-2 when he starts this season.
  • Games Glasnow has started this season hit the over four times in five chances.

Rays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jason Adam 32 32.1 41 3.06 7 10
Jake Diekman 31 26.1 31 4.78 7 0
Colin Poche 30 27.2 20 2.28 12 1
Kevin Kelly 29 34.2 28 3.12 8 2
Robert Stephenson 27 22.2 28 4.37 8 0

Royals Probable Pitcher – Daniel Lynch

  • Lynch gets the start for the Royals, his sixth of the season. He is 1-3 with a 4.45 ERA and 22 strikeouts in 30 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Tuesday against the Detroit Tigers, the left-hander tossed seven scoreless innings while surrendering one hit.
  • Lynch is looking for his sixth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.0 frames per start.
  • He has had one outing this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Royals have been the underdog on the moneyline in three of Lynch’s starts this season, and they went 1-2 in those matchups.
  • Lynch’s team has compiled a 2-3 record over his five starts.
  • Lynch’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in two of five contests.

Royals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jose Cuas 31 31.2 40 4.83 2 0
Taylor Clarke 28 32.2 37 4.41 8 0
Aroldis Chapman 26 26.1 48 2.73 8 2
Scott Barlow 25 27.2 39 3.90 0 9
Carlos Hernandez 25 37.2 47 4.54 3 0

Rays Hitting Trends

  • The Rays have hit at least two home runs in 40 games this season, and are 31-9 in those contests.
  • Tampa Bay has collected at least five extra-base hits in 25 games this season, and has gone 23-2 in those contests.
  • The club is 41-23 in the games this season it has totaled eight or more hits.
  • Tampa Bay is 41-16 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Rays have drawn five or more walks in 22 games this season, and are 18-4 in those contests.

Royals Hitting Trends

  • They are 6-12 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Kansas City has won eight of its 19 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 17 of the 47 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 24 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 14-10.
  • They have a 2-10 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Rays vs. Royals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rays (-269)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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