The Atlanta Braves (49-27) and Cincinnati Reds (41-36) play a rubber match on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.
The Braves are a favorite (-212) against the Reds (+177). The game’s over/under is set at 11.5.
The betting insights in what follows reflect odds as of June 25, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -212 | +177 | 11.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have been favorites in 65 games this season and won 42 (64.6%) of those contests.
- Atlanta has a record of 15-5, a 75% win rate, when favored by -212 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The Braves have a 67.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 43 of its 76 chances.
- The Braves are 37-39-0 against the spread in their 76 chances this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 9-1 |
| Runs Per Game | 8.2 |
| HR | 29 |
| ERA | 4.10 |
| K/9 | 10.6 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have won in 29, or 50%, of the 58 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Cincinnati has been victorious one time in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +177 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Reds have an implied victory probability of 36.1% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 44 of its 77 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Reds have an against the spread mark of 47-30-0 in 77 games with a line this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 9-1 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.8 |
| HR | 24 |
| ERA | 4.65 |
| K/9 | 7.5 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Charlie Morton
- Morton and his team are 7-7-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up three earned runs in five innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Colorado Rockies.
- Morton has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has finished two appearances without allowing an earned run in 14 chances this season.
- Morton’s team has won 50% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (7-7).
- Morton’s team has won seven of his 14 starts this season.
- Games Morton has started this season hit the over nine times in 14 chances.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 37 | 35.2 | 45 | 5.05 | 6 | 10 |
| Nick Anderson | 29 | 31.1 | 34 | 3.16 | 12 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 25 | 25.1 | 31 | 3.55 | 4 | 0 |
| Kirby Yates | 25 | 28 | 38 | 3.21 | 4 | 0 |
| Collin McHugh | 22 | 31 | 21 | 3.77 | 5 | 0 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Levi Stoudt
- Stoudt (0-1) gets the start for the Reds, his third of the season.
- His most recent time out was on Saturday, May 13 against the Miami Marlins, when the righty went three innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up two hits.
- The Reds were named the moneyline underdog for two Stoudt starts this season — they split the games.
- His team split the two matchups he’s appeared in this season.
- Stoudt’s two starts with a total this season finished 1-1-0 against the total.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 33 | 36 | 29 | 3.25 | 7 | 1 |
| Alex Young | 33 | 31.1 | 32 | 2.87 | 8 | 1 |
| Buck Farmer | 33 | 37.1 | 33 | 2.41 | 6 | 2 |
| Alexis Diaz | 31 | 32 | 55 | 1.97 | 1 | 21 |
| Lucas Sims | 27 | 28.2 | 37 | 3.45 | 11 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves are 29-10 this season in games when they send out at least two homers.
- Atlanta is 18-1 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has notched eight or more hits 55 times this season, and has a 39-16 record in those games.
- Atlanta has a 40-8 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Braves have drawn at least five walks in 22 games this season, and are 14-8 in those contests.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They have won 19 of the 22 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 24 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 20-4.
- In 59 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 42-17.
- Cincinnati has won 45 of its 52 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 30 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 13-17
Braves vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-212)
Over/Under Pick: Over (11.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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