Giants vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 25, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 24, 2023

The San Francisco Giants (44-33) have a 2-0 series lead, aiming to sweep the Arizona Diamondbacks (46-32) on Sunday at Oracle Park, at 4:05 PM ET.

The Diamondbacks (+110 underdog on the moneyline) visit the Giants (-132). The total in the game is set at 9 total runs.

The insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of June 25, 2023 at 3:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Giants vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Giants -132 +110 9

Giants Betting Insights

  • This season, the Giants have won 19 out of the 37 games, or 51.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • San Francisco has entered 24 games this season favored by -132 or more and is 11-13 in those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.9% chance of a victory for the Giants.
  • San Francisco and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 39 of 77 opportunities.
  • The Giants are 43-34-0 against the spread in their 77 chances this season.

Giants Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 9-1
Runs Per Game 6.7
HR 10
ERA 3.93
K/9 8.9

Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • The Diamondbacks have won in 20, or 51.3%, of the 39 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Arizona has a mark of 13-14 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +110 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 47.6% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Arizona’s games have gone over the total in 38 of its 78 opportunities.
  • The Diamondbacks have posted a record of 47-31-0 against the spread this season.

Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 12
ERA 4.66
K/9 8

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Giants Probable Pitcher – Anthony DeSclafani

  • DeSclafani’s team is 9-6-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed five innings while giving up three earned runs on eight hits in a matchup with the San Diego Padres.
  • In 15 starts this season, DeSclafani has lasted five or more innings 13 times, with an average of 5.6 innings per appearance.
  • He has finished two appearances without allowing an earned run in 15 chances this season.
  • DeSclafani’s team is 3-4 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • DeSclafani’s team has an 8-7 record in his starts this season.
  • In DeSclafani’s 15 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over eight times.

Giants Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Camilo Doval 36 35.2 49 2.02 0 22
Tyler Rogers 33 38.2 31 1.86 16 2
Taylor Rogers 30 27 34 2.67 3 1
Jakob Junis 19 44.2 53 4.84 1 1
Tristan Beck 14 38.1 32 3.05 2 2

Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Ryne Nelson

  • Nelson (3-4 with a 5.31 ERA and 52 strikeouts in 76 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Diamondbacks, his 16th of the season.
  • In his most recent appearance on Wednesday, the righty threw five innings against the Milwaukee Brewers, giving up three earned runs while surrendering six hits.
  • Nelson enters this matchup with 11 outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
  • He has had two appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Diamondbacks have a 3-6 record in Nelson’s nine starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Nelson’s team has a 6-9 record in his starts this season.
  • Nelson’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in eight of 15 contests.

Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Scott McGough 33 39.2 47 2.5 12 5
Miguel Castro 31 30.1 25 3.56 8 7
Kyle Nelson 31 28.2 36 2.83 6 0
Andrew Chafin 30 26.1 40 2.73 9 8
José Ruiz 28 34.2 32 5.71 1 0

Giants Hitting Trends

  • The Giants are 18-14 this season in games when they send out two or more bombs.
  • San Francisco has gone 12-7 in its 19 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has put up eight or more hits 48 times this season, and has a 32-16 record in those games.
  • San Francisco is 29-13 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Giants are 17-6 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Diamondbacks Hitting Trends

  • They have won 23 of the 30 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Arizona has gone 17-5 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 62 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 45-17.
  • In 55 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 45-10.
  • In 30 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 15-15

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Giants (-132)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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