A pair of pitchers with top-10 ERAs match up when Gerrit Cole (2.64 ERA) starts for the New York Yankees (42-35) against Nathan Eovaldi (2.80) and the Texas Rangers (47-29) on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET.
Oddsmakers project the Yankees as a small favorite (-112 to win on the moneyline) against the Rangers (-106). The matchup has an over/under set at 8 total runs.
The betting trends in this article use the latest odds as of June 25, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Yankees vs Rangers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -112 | -106 | 8 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 51 times this season and won 30, or 58.8%, of those games.
- New York has a record of 29-19 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -112 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 52.8% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
- So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 32 of 77 games with a total.
- The Yankees have an ATS record of 41-36-0 in 77 games with a spread this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.0 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 4.40 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
Rangers Betting Insights
- The Rangers have been victorious in 17, or 58.6%, of the 29 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Texas has been victorious 12 times in 24 chances when named as an underdog of at least -106 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 51.5% chance of walking away with the win.
- Texas and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 41 of its 76 opportunities.
- The Rangers have an against the spread mark of 48-28-0 in 76 games with a line this season.
Rangers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 3.34 |
| K/9 | 7.0 |
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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Cole
- Cole’s team is 9-7-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in 7 1/3 innings against the Seattle Mariners.
- Cole will look to finish five or more innings for the 17th start in a row.
- He has four appearances with no earned runs allowed in 16 chances this season.
- When Cole starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 12-3.
- Cole’s team has a 12-4 record in his starts this season.
- In Cole’s 16 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over five times.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 34 | 30.1 | 25 | 2.67 | 9 | 4 |
| Clay Holmes | 32 | 32.1 | 40 | 1.95 | 5 | 9 |
| Ron Marinaccio | 29 | 33.2 | 42 | 3.21 | 6 | 2 |
| Jimmy Cordero | 27 | 29.2 | 32 | 3.34 | 8 | 0 |
| Albert Abreu | 26 | 35 | 38 | 3.09 | 3 | 0 |
Rangers Probable Pitcher – Eovaldi
- Eovaldi (9-3) is going for his 10th victory when he takes the mound first for the Rangers in his 16th start of the season. He’s put together a 2.80 ERA in 99 2/3 innings pitched, with 96 strikeouts.
- His most recent appearance came on Wednesday against the Chicago White Sox, when the right-hander tossed six innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Eovaldi is aiming for his 16th straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.6 frames per start.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in five of his 15 outings this season.
- The Rangers have been the moneyline underdog in five of Eovaldi’s starts this season, and they went 3-2 in those games.
- Eovaldi’s team has won nine of his 15 starts.
- Eovaldi’s starts went over the run total nine times in 15 games with a set total this season.
Rangers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Smith | 28 | 29.2 | 33 | 2.73 | 4 | 14 |
| Brock Burke | 22 | 28.2 | 23 | 3.14 | 8 | 0 |
| Josh Sborz | 21 | 30 | 39 | 2.70 | 8 | 0 |
| Joe Barlow | 11 | 9 | 6 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| John King | 10 | 14 | 8 | 3.86 | 1 | 0 |
Yankees Hitting Trends
- The Yankees have a 35-11 record in games this season when they hit two or more homers.
- New York is 8-2 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has put up eight or more hits 49 times this season, and has a 34-15 record in those games.
- New York is 30-11 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Yankees have drawn at least five walks in 19 games this season, and are 13-6 in those contests.
Rangers Hitting Trends
- They have won 28 of the 35 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Texas has won 19 of its 28 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 48 of the 65 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 56 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 43-13.
- They have a 18-12 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Yankees vs. Rangers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-106)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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