The San Diego Padres (37-39) are looking for continued power from a hitter on a roll against the Washington Nationals (28-47) on Saturday at 8:40 PM ET, at PETCO Park. Ha-Seong Kim is riding a two-game homer streak.
The Nationals are an underdog (+169 on the moneyline to win) when they take the field at the Padres (-201). The matchup has an over/under set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting trends in what follows reference odds valid as of June 24, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -201 | +169 | 8.5 |
Padres Betting Insights
- This season, the Padres have won 29 out of the 54 games, or 53.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
- San Diego has a record of 7-3, a 70% win rate, when favored by -201 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 66.8% chance to win.
- San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 27 of 76 opportunities.
- The Padres are 36-40-0 against the spread this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 3.58 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been underdogs in 72 games this season and have come away with the win 26 times (36.1%) in those contests.
- This year, Washington has won nine of 23 games when listed as at least +169 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 37.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Washington’s games have gone over the total in 35 of its 75 opportunities.
- The Nationals have posted a record of 41-34-0 against the spread this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 5.16 |
| K/9 | 7.2 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Matt Waldron
- The 26-year-old right-hander will make his MLB debut.
- Waldron did not appear in a game when his team was the moneyline favorite last season.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Wilson | 33 | 36 | 40 | 2.50 | 16 | 0 |
| Tim Hill | 31 | 31 | 21 | 3.19 | 9 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 30 | 28.2 | 42 | 1.26 | 0 | 18 |
| Brent Honeywell Jr. | 25 | 36.1 | 35 | 3.47 | 3 | 0 |
| Luís Garcia | 24 | 22 | 22 | 5.73 | 8 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Josiah Gray
- Gray (4-6 with a 3.64 ERA and 72 strikeouts in 84 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Nationals, his 16th of the season.
- In his last time out on Monday, the righty tossed five innings against the St. Louis Cardinals, giving up six earned runs while surrendering nine hits.
- Gray is aiming for his fifth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.6 frames per start.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in one of his 15 appearances this season.
- The Nationals have a 5-9 record in Gray’s 14 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Gray’s team has won six of his 15 starts.
- Gray has started 15 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in seven of them.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Harvey | 30 | 31.2 | 35 | 3.69 | 11 | 4 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 28 | 29 | 30 | 4.03 | 4 | 11 |
| Mason Thompson | 28 | 36 | 31 | 3.25 | 4 | 1 |
| Thad Ward | 19 | 29 | 26 | 6.21 | 0 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 14 | 17 | 12 | 8.47 | 1 | 0 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres have hit two or more long balls in 31 games this season, and are 16-15 in those contests.
- San Diego has gone 13-6 in its 19 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 28-12 in the games this season it has notched at least eight hits.
- San Diego has a 30-4 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Padres are 20-13 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 14 games this season and are 8-6 in those matchups.
- In 12 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 9-3.
- In 51 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 25-26.
- In 28 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 18-10.
- They have won seven of their 16 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Padres vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-201)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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