Rangers vs. Yankees Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 24, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 24, 2023

The Texas Rangers (47-28) and New York Yankees (41-35) meet on Saturday at 4:05 PM ET.

The Rangers are the road favorite (-143) versus the Yankees (+122). The matchup has an over/under set at 9 total runs.

The betting insights in the following article reference odds valid as of June 24, 2023 at 3:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Rangers vs Yankees Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Rangers -143 +122 9

Rangers Betting Insights

  • The Rangers have been favorites in 46 games this season and won 30 (65.2%) of those contests.
  • Texas has a record of 21-7 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -143 on the moneyline.
  • The Rangers have a 58.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Texas’ games have gone over the total in 41 of its 75 chances.
  • In 75 games with a spread this season, the Rangers are 48-27-0 ATS.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 16
ERA 3.90
K/9 6.9

Yankees Betting Insights

  • The Yankees have been victorious in 11, or 44%, of the 25 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • New York has a win-loss record of 7-6 when favored by +122 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 45% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • New York’s games have gone over the total in 32 of its 76 opportunities.
  • The Yankees are 40-36-0 against the spread in their 76 games that had a posted line this season.

Yankees Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.1
HR 9
ERA 4.55
K/9 8.3

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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Jon Gray

  • Gray and his team are 8-5-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw 2 1/3 innings against the Toronto Blue Jays, giving up six earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • In 13 starts this season, Gray has lasted five or more innings 11 times, with an average of 5.8 innings per appearance.
  • In 13 appearances this season, he has finished two without allowing an earned run.
  • Gray’s team has won 42.9% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (3-4).
  • Gray’s team has an 8-5 record in his starts this season.
  • In Gray’s 13 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over seven times.

Rangers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Will Smith 28 29.2 33 2.73 4 14
José Leclerc 23 23.2 25 3.42 1 1
Brock Burke 22 28.2 23 3.14 8 0
Josh Sborz 21 30 39 2.7 8 0
Joe Barlow 10 8 6 2.25 0 0

Yankees Probable Pitcher – Luis Severino

  • Severino (0-2) takes the mound first for the Yankees in his seventh start of the season. He’s put together a 6.30 ERA in 30 2/3 innings pitched, with 28 strikeouts.
  • In his most recent time out on Sunday, the righty went five innings against the Boston Red Sox, giving up three earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • Severino is looking to record his fourth start of five or more innings this year in this game.
  • He given up at least one earned run in each of his outings in 2023.
  • The Yankees have been the moneyline underdog in three of Severino’s starts this season, and they went 1-2 in those matchups.
  • Over Severino’s six starts, his team is 3-4.
  • Severino has had seven starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in three of those games.

Yankees Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Wandy Peralta 33 30 24 2.7 8 4
Clay Holmes 31 31.2 39 1.99 4 9
Ron Marinaccio 28 32.2 40 3.31 6 1
Jimmy Cordero 27 29.2 32 3.34 8 0
Albert Abreu 26 35 38 3.09 3 0

Rangers Hitting Trends

  • The Rangers have hit two or more long balls in 35 games this season, and are 28-7 in those contests.
  • Texas is 19-9 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has collected eight or more hits in 64 games this season, and is 48-16 in those contests.
  • Texas has a 43-13 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Rangers have drawn five or more walks in 30 games this season, and are 18-12 in those contests.

Yankees Hitting Trends

  • They have won 35 of the 46 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • New York has gone 8-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 49 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 34-15.
  • In 41 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 30-11.
  • In 19 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 13-6

Rangers vs. Yankees Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-143)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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