The New York Mets hope to break their three-game losing run against the Philadelphia Phillies (39-36), on Saturday at 4:05 PM ET.
The Phillies are an underdog (+104 moneyline odds to win) when they take on the Mets (-123). The over/under in the game is 9.5 total runs.
The betting trends in the article below use the latest odds as of June 24, 2023 at 3:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Phillies Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -123 | +104 | 9.5 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have entered the game as favorites 51 times this season and won 26, or 51%, of those games.
- New York has entered 44 games this season favored by -123 or more and is 21-23 in those contests.
- The Mets have a 55.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- New York and its opponents have hit the over in 35 of its 76 games with a total this season.
- The Mets have an ATS record of 28-48-0 in 76 games with a spread this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.24 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have won in 12, or 42.9%, of the 28 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Philadelphia has come away with a win eight times in 21 chances when named as an underdog of at least +104 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 49% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Contests with Philadelphia has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 29 of 75 chances this season.
- In 75 games with a line this season, the Phillies have a mark of 33-42-0 against the spread.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 2.68 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Max Scherzer
- Scherzer’s team is 7-5-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in eight innings pitched against the Houston Astros on Tuesday.
- Scherzer has started 12 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings nine times. He averages 5.4 innings per appearance.
- He has three appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 12 chances this season.
- Scherzer’s team is 7-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- In games Scherzer has started, his team is 8-4.
- Out of Scherzer’s 12 starts with a total this season, eight have hit the over.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 32 | 30.1 | 32 | 3.86 | 7 | 5 |
| Brooks Raley | 30 | 25.1 | 26 | 2.84 | 13 | 1 |
| David Robertson | 28 | 31.1 | 40 | 1.72 | 6 | 10 |
| Jeff Brigham | 27 | 27 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Dominic Leone | 17 | 19.2 | 18 | 5.49 | 0 | 0 |
Phillies Probable Pitcher – Cristopher Sanchez
- The Phillies will send Sanchez (0-0) to the mound to make his third start of the season.
- In his last appearance on Saturday, the left-hander threw four scoreless innings against the Oakland Athletics while surrendering one hit.
- In one of his appearances this season he did not give up an earned run.
- The Phillies have yet to be named a moneyline underdog when Sanchez starts this season.
- His team has won both of the matchups he’s appeared in this season.
- Sanchez’s two starts with a total this season both went under.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Soto | 33 | 29.2 | 33 | 4.55 | 11 | 1 |
| Craig Kimbrel | 32 | 30 | 48 | 4.2 | 3 | 10 |
| Andrew Vasquez | 23 | 34 | 30 | 1.85 | 0 | 0 |
| José Alvarado | 21 | 21.1 | 34 | 2.11 | 5 | 6 |
| Yunior Marte | 18 | 16.2 | 19 | 6.48 | 1 | 1 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets are 10-13 this season in games when they hit at least two long balls.
- New York is 6-4 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The team is 27-16 in the games this season it has collected at least eight hits.
- New York is 27-14 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Mets have drawn five or more walks in 16 games this season, and are 7-9 in those contests.
Phillies Hitting Trends
- They have won 14 of the 20 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Philadelphia has won 13 of its 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 31 of the 50 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 33 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 28-5.
- They have a 17-6 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Mets vs. Phillies Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (+104)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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