Matt Olson leads the Atlanta Braves (48-27) into a matchup against the Cincinnati Reds (41-35) following his two-homer outing in an 11-10 defeat to the Reds. It starts at 4:10 PM ET on Saturday.
The Braves are favored (-129 on the moneyline to win) when they take the field at the Reds (+109). The matchup has an over/under of 12 total runs.
The betting facts in what follows are based off odds valid as of June 24, 2023 at 3:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -129 | +109 | 12 |
Braves Betting Insights
- This season, the Braves have been favored 64 times and won 41, or 64.1%, of those games.
- This season Atlanta has won 38 of its 54 games, or 70.4%, when favored by at least -129 on the moneyline.
- The Braves have a 56.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving Atlanta has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 42 of 75 chances this season.
- The Braves are 37-38-0 against the spread in their 75 chances this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 8 |
| HR | 26 |
| ERA | 4.00 |
| K/9 | 10.9 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 57 games this year and have walked away with the win 29 times (50.9%) in those games.
- This year, Cincinnati has won 22 of 47 games when listed as at least +109 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Reds have an implied victory probability of 47.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 43 of its 76 opportunities.
- The Reds have posted a record of 46-30-0 against the spread this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 10-0 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.7 |
| HR | 21 |
| ERA | 4.30 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Jared Shuster
- When Shuster starts, his team is 5-3-0 against the spread this season.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Friday, June 16, when he threw 5 2/3 innings against the Colorado Rockies, giving up one earned run while allowing five hits.
- Shuster will look to finish five or more innings for the seventh start in a row.
- He has allowed at least one earned run in every appearance this season.
- Shuster’s team has won 66.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (4-2).
- In games Shuster has started, his team is 4-4.
- Games started by Shuster have a 2-5-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 36 | 34.2 | 43 | 5.19 | 5 | 10 |
| Nick Anderson | 28 | 30.1 | 33 | 3.26 | 11 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 25 | 25.1 | 31 | 3.55 | 4 | 0 |
| Kirby Yates | 25 | 28 | 38 | 3.21 | 4 | 0 |
| Collin McHugh | 22 | 31 | 21 | 3.77 | 5 | 0 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Graham Ashcraft
- Ashcraft gets the start for the Reds, his 14th of the season. He is 3-5 with a 6.78 ERA and 50 strikeouts in 65 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent appearance on Thursday, June 8, the righty threw 2 2/3 innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers, giving up three earned runs while surrendering three hits.
- Ashcraft will look to pick up his 11th outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages five innings per appearance.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in one of his 13 outings this season.
- The Reds are 5-6 in Ashcraft’s 11 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Ashcraft’s team is 6-7 over his 13 starts.
- Ashcraft’s starts hit the over on the run total eight times in 13 games with a set total this season.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 33 | 36 | 29 | 3.25 | 7 | 1 |
| Buck Farmer | 33 | 37.1 | 33 | 2.41 | 6 | 2 |
| Alex Young | 32 | 30.2 | 32 | 2.64 | 8 | 1 |
| Alexis Diaz | 31 | 32 | 55 | 1.97 | 1 | 21 |
| Lucas Sims | 27 | 28.2 | 37 | 3.45 | 11 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves are 28-10 this season in games when they crush two or more bombs.
- Atlanta has collected at least five extra-base hits in 18 games this season, and has gone 17-1 in those outings.
- The team is 38-16 in the games this season it has racked up at least eight hits.
- Atlanta is 39-8 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Braves are 14-8 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They have won 19 of the 21 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Cincinnati has gone 20-4 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 42-16 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Cincinnati has a 45-6 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 30 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 13-17
Braves vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-129)
Over/Under Pick: Under (12)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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