The Miami Marlins (43-34) and Pittsburgh Pirates (35-40) meet on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET.
The Pirates (+146 underdog on the moneyline to win) are away versus the Marlins (-175). The over/under in the game is set at 8 total runs.
The insights in the following article reference odds valid as of June 24, 2023 at 3:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -175 | +146 | 8 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- This season, the Marlins have won 22 out of the 36 games, or 61.1%, in which they’ve been favored.
- This season Miami has won four of its six games when favored by at least -175 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 63.6% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
- So far this season, Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 35 of 77 games with a total.
- The Marlins are 36-41-0 ATS in their 77 games with a spread this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 5 |
| ERA | 3.24 |
| K/9 | 9.8 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been underdogs in 56 games this season and have come away with the win 23 times (41.1%) in those contests.
- This year, Pittsburgh has won four of 10 games when listed as at least +146 or worse on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 40.7% chance of pulling out a win.
- Contests with Pittsburgh has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 37 of 75 chances this season.
- In 75 games with a line this season, the Pirates have a mark of 34-41-0 against the spread.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 1-9 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.4 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 5.57 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Bryan Hoeing
- Hoeing’s team is 4-2-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Monday, when he tossed four innings without allowing a run on three hits in a matchup with the Toronto Blue Jays.
- Hoeing has one start of five or more innings this season in six chances. He averages 1.8 innings per outing.
- In 17 appearances this season, he has finished 12 without allowing an earned run.
- Hoeing’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Hoeing’s team has a 4-2 record in his starts this season.
- Out of Hoeing’s six starts with a total this season, four have hit the over.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nardi | 32 | 32.1 | 40 | 2.78 | 5 | 2 |
| Tanner Scott | 31 | 35.2 | 51 | 3.28 | 13 | 2 |
| Dylan Floro | 30 | 29.2 | 31 | 3.94 | 8 | 7 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 28 | 37 | 40 | 3.65 | 9 | 0 |
| Steven Okert | 24 | 25.1 | 35 | 2.13 | 7 | 0 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Osvaldo Bido
- The Pirates are sending Bido (0-1) to make his third start of the season.
- In his last time out on Monday, the righty tossed six innings against the Chicago Cubs, giving up three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
- Bido will look to pick up his second matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages five innings per appearance.
- The Pirates were named the moneyline underdog for two Bido starts this season — they lost both.
- His team has lost both of the games he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Bido’s two starts with a total this season finished 1-1-0 against the total.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauri Moreta | 32 | 33 | 44 | 3.82 | 4 | 1 |
| David Bednar | 28 | 28 | 34 | 1.61 | 0 | 15 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 19 | 24.1 | 14 | 5.18 | 3 | 2 |
| Angel Perdomo | 9 | 9.2 | 15 | 3.72 | 1 | 0 |
| Chase De Jong | 6 | 11.1 | 7 | 13.5 | 0 | 0 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins have an 8-17 record this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
- Miami has gone 12-1 in its 13 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has racked up at least eight hits in 64 games this season, and is 37-27 in those contests.
- Miami is 29-10 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Marlins are 8-11 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 21 games this season and are 16-5 in those matchups.
- In 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 15-2.
- They have won 24 of the 33 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Pittsburgh has a 21-4 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 12-11 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Marlins vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Marlins (-175)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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