The Milwaukee Brewers (39-36) match up with the Cleveland Guardians (36-39), after Willy Adames went deep twice in a 7-1 victory over the Guardians, at 4:10 PM ET on Saturday.
The Guardians are favored (-118) in a projected tight game against the Brewers (-102). The total for the game is set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting trends in this article are based off odds valid as of June 24, 2023 at 3:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Guardians vs Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -118 | -102 | 8.5 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- This season, the Guardians have won 21 out of the 40 games, or 52.5%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Cleveland has a record of 18-18, a 50% win rate, when favored by -118 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The implied probability of a win from the Guardians, based on the moneyline, is 54.1%.
- Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 31 of 75 opportunities.
- The Guardians have an ATS record of 36-39-0 in 75 games with a spread this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 4.86 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have been victorious in 17, or 50%, of the 34 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Milwaukee has a win-loss record of 15-17 when favored by -102 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 50.5% chance of pulling out a win.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 32 of its 75 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- In 75 games with a line this season, the Brewers have a mark of 34-41-0 against the spread.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.30 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Tanner Bibee
- Bibee’s team is 6-4-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed seven hits in five innings pitched against the Arizona Diamondbacks on Sunday.
- Bibee has started 10 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings eight times. He averages 5.3 innings per appearance.
- He has not pitched this season without allowing at least one earned run.
- Bibee’s team has been victorious in 75% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 3-1.
- In games Bibee has started, his team is 4-6.
- Games started by Bibee have a 5-5-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 34 | 35.1 | 32 | 2.55 | 0 | 22 |
| Trevor Stephan | 32 | 31 | 34 | 2.32 | 10 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 31 | 31 | 28 | 2.9 | 5 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 28 | 31.1 | 31 | 1.72 | 4 | 1 |
| Nick Sandlin | 25 | 27.1 | 25 | 3.29 | 2 | 0 |
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Freddy Peralta
- Peralta makes the start for the Brewers, his 15th of the season. He is 5-6 with a 4.60 ERA and 84 strikeouts through 76 1/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander last pitched on Sunday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, when he tossed six innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up two hits.
- Peralta is seeking his fifth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.4 frames per start.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in one of his 14 outings this season.
- The Brewers have a 1-2 record in Peralta’s three starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Over Peralta’s 14 starts, his team is 7-7.
- Peralta’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in seven of 14 contests.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Strzelecki | 32 | 33.1 | 34 | 4.86 | 14 | 0 |
| Hoby Milner | 32 | 28.2 | 24 | 2.83 | 5 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 30 | 33.1 | 37 | 2.43 | 12 | 1 |
| Devin Williams | 24 | 24.2 | 35 | 1.82 | 0 | 13 |
| Bryse Wilson | 24 | 36 | 28 | 2.75 | 2 | 3 |
Guardians Hitting Trends
- The Guardians have an 8-2 record in games this season when they belt at least two home runs.
- Cleveland has collected five or more extra-base hits in 13 games this season, and has gone 9-4 in those contests.
- The team has strung together at least eight hits 43 times this season, and has a 23-20 record in those games.
- Cleveland is 19-5 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Guardians are 11-9 over the 20 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Brewers Hitting Trends
- They have won 31 of the 37 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Milwaukee has won each of its six games this season in which it has connected for five or more extra-base hits.
- They have won 28 of the 37 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 42 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 38-4.
- They have won 19 of their 26 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Guardians vs. Brewers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Guardians (-118)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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