Twins vs. Tigers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 24, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 24, 2023

The Minnesota Twins (39-38) aim to prolong their three-game winning streak when they square off against the Detroit Tigers (32-42) on Saturday at 7:15 PM ET, at Comerica Park.

The Tigers are an underdog (+137 on the moneyline) when they host the Twins (-163). The total in the game is set at 7.5 total runs.

The betting trends in this article reflect odds as of June 24, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Twins vs Tigers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Twins -163 +137 7.5

Twins Betting Insights

  • The Twins have won 30, or 62.5%, of the 48 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Minnesota is 8-8 this season when entering a game favored by -163 or more on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 62% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 33 of 77 games with a total.
  • The Twins have an ATS record of 37-40-0 in 77 games with a spread this season.

Twins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 12
ERA 4.55
K/9 8.8

Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Tigers have been chosen as underdogs in 66 games this year and have walked away with the win 27 times (40.9%) in those games.
  • This year, Detroit has won 16 of 38 games when listed as at least +137 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Tigers have a 42.2% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Detroit’s games have gone over the total in 40 of its 75 opportunities.
  • The Tigers have an against the spread record of 41-34-0 in 75 games with a line this season.

Tigers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 13
ERA 3.74
K/9 10.3

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Twins Probable Pitcher – Pablo Lopez

  • Lopez’s team is 5-10-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Monday, when he threw 5 2/3 innings against the Boston Red Sox, giving up four earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • Lopez will look to finish five or more innings for the seventh start in a row.
  • He has one appearance with no earned runs allowed in 15 chances this season.
  • When Lopez starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 8-3.
  • Lopez’s team is 8-7 when he starts this season.
  • In games Lopez has started this season, the teams are 8-6-1 at hitting the over.

Twins Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Griffin Jax 34 33 33 3.00 10 1
Jovani Moran 28 30.2 35 4.70 7 0
Jhoan Duran 27 30 41 1.50 1 10
Emilio Pagán 25 31.2 28 3.98 0 0
Brock Stewart 23 24.2 33 0.73 7 1

Tigers Probable Pitcher – Reese Olson

  • Olson makes the start for the Tigers, his fourth of the season. He is 0-2 with a 5.59 ERA and 19 strikeouts in 19 1/3 innings pitched.
  • His last appearance came on Monday against the Kansas City Royals, when the righty tossed six innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • Olson has pitched five or more innings in a game three times this year heading into this outing.
  • The Tigers have been the underdog on the moneyline in three of Olson’s starts this season, and they went 1-2 in those games.
  • Olson’s team has a 2-2 record in his starts this season.
  • Olson has had four starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and three of those matchups hit the over.

Tigers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jason Foley 31 32.1 28 2.51 12 3
Alex Lange 30 29.1 38 3.99 2 11
José Cisnero 29 28.2 31 2.20 6 1
Chasen Shreve 28 28 29 3.86 8 0
Mason Englert 21 42.1 31 4.68 2 0

Twins Hitting Trends

  • The Twins are 32-7 this season in games when they hit two or more bombs.
  • Minnesota is 23-1 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team has racked up eight or more hits in 47 games this season, and is 37-10 in those contests.
  • Minnesota has a 38-4 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Twins have drawn five or more walks in 26 games this season, and are 16-10 in those contests.

Tigers Hitting Trends

  • They are 10-7 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Detroit has won nine of its 13 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 31 of the 41 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Detroit has won 28 of its 35 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have won 14 of their 22 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Twins vs. Tigers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Twins (-163)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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