Rays vs. Royals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 24, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 24, 2023

The Tampa Bay Rays (53-26) host the Kansas City Royals (21-55) at 4:10 PM ET on Saturday.

The Royals are an underdog (+198 moneyline odds to win) when they take on the Rays (-243). The matchup has an over/under set at 9 total runs.

The betting facts in the following article reference odds valid as of June 24, 2023 at 3:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Rays vs Royals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Rays -243 +198 9

Rays Betting Insights

  • The Rays have won 48, or 70.6%, of the 68 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Tampa Bay has a record of 9-2 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -243 on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 70.8% chance of a victory for the Rays.
  • Games involving Tampa Bay has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 44 of 79 chances this season.
  • The Rays are 47-32-0 against the spread this season.

Rays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5
HR 8
ERA 3.41
K/9 10.2

Royals Betting Insights

  • The Royals have come away with 18 wins in the 63 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Kansas City has come away with a win three times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +198 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Royals have a 33.6% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Contests with Kansas City has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 34 of 76 chances this season.
  • The Royals have an against the spread record of 29-47-0 in 76 games with a line this season.

Royals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 7
ERA 5.79
K/9 7.1

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Rays Probable Pitcher – Yonny Chirinos

  • When Chirinos starts, his team is 2-1-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw 4 2/3 innings against the San Diego Padres, giving up three earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • Chirinos’ team is 2-0 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • Chirinos’ team has a 2-1 record in his starts this season.
  • Games started by Chirinos have a 1-1-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Rays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jason Adam 32 32.1 41 3.06 7 10
Jake Diekman 30 25.1 28 4.97 7 0
Colin Poche 30 27.2 20 2.28 12 1
Kevin Kelly 29 34.2 28 3.12 8 2
Robert Stephenson 27 22.2 28 4.37 8 0

Royals Probable Pitcher – Jordan Lyles

  • Lyles makes the start for the Royals, his 16th of the season. He is 0-11 with a 6.51 ERA and 62 strikeouts in 85 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander’s last time out came on Monday against the Detroit Tigers, when he tossed six innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • Lyles will try to build on a seven-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.7 frames per outing).
  • He surrendered one or more earned runs in all of his outings in 2023.
  • The Royals were the underdog on the moneyline for 13 Lyles starts this season — they lost all of the games.
  • Lyles’ team has dropped all 15 of his starts this season.
  • Lyles has had 15 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in seven of those games.

Royals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jose Cuas 31 31.2 40 4.83 2 0
Taylor Clarke 28 32.2 37 4.41 8 0
Aroldis Chapman 26 26.1 48 2.73 8 2
Scott Barlow 25 27.2 39 3.9 0 9
Carlos Hernandez 24 36.2 46 4.66 3 0

Rays Hitting Trends

  • The Rays have a 31-9 record in games this season when they belt at least two home runs.
  • Tampa Bay has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 25 games this season, and has gone 23-2 in those contests.
  • The club has racked up eight or more hits 63 times this season, and has a 41-22 record in those games.
  • Tampa Bay is 41-16 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Rays are 18-4 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Royals Hitting Trends

  • They are 5-12 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Kansas City has won seven of its 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • In 46 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 16-30.
  • Kansas City has a 13-10 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In 12 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 2-10

Rays vs. Royals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rays (-243)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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