Cubs vs. Cardinals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 24, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 23, 2023

The Chicago Cubs (36-38) and St. Louis Cardinals (31-44) clash in the first of a two-game series on Saturday at London Stadium, at 1:10 PM ET. The Cubs are coming off a series victory over the Pirates, and the Cardinals a series win over the Nationals.

The Cubs are the road favorite (-129) versus the Cardinals (+109). The matchup has an over/under of 13.5 total runs.

The betting insights in the article below use the latest odds as of June 24, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Cubs vs Cardinals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Cubs -129 +109 13.5

Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Cubs have been favorites in 37 games this season and won 21 (56.8%) of those contests.
  • Chicago is 14-7 this season when entering a game favored by -129 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Cubs have a 56.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 36 of its 74 chances.
  • The Cubs are 39-35-0 against the spread this season.

Cubs Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 6.8
HR 10
ERA 3.54
K/9 7.2

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Cardinals have been underdogs in 29 games this season and have come away with the win 12 times (41.4%) in those contests.
  • St. Louis has a win-loss record of 8-9 when favored by +109 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 47.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • St. Louis and its opponents have hit the over in 38 of its 75 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • In 75 games with a line this season, the Cardinals have a mark of 32-43-0 against the spread.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 15
ERA 5.46
K/9 6.7

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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Justin Steele

  • Steele and his team are 7-6-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed five hits in five innings against the Baltimore Orioles.
  • Steele has made 11 starts of five or more innings in 13 chances this season, and averages 5.6 frames when he pitches.
  • He has four appearances with no earned runs allowed in 13 chances this season.
  • Steele’s team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 4-2.
  • Steele’s team has a 7-6 record in his starts this season.
  • Games Steele has started this season hit the over six times in 13 chances.

Cubs Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Michael Fulmer 31 31.2 36 5.12 6 1
Julian Merryweather 31 32.1 46 3.06 3 0
Mark Leiter Jr. 29 31.1 47 2.59 13 3
Adbert Alzolay 25 33 34 1.91 7 4
Michael Rucker 22 28.1 32 4.45 0 0

Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Adam Wainwright

  • Wainwright (3-1) takes the mound first for the Cardinals in his ninth start of the season. He’s put together a 5.56 ERA in 43 2/3 innings pitched, with 24 strikeouts.
  • In his last appearance on Saturday, the right-hander threw 6 1/3 innings against the New York Mets, allowing three earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • Wainwright will aim to pitch five or more innings for his ninth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.4 frames per outing.
  • He has not had an appearance so far in 2023 that he did not give up at least one earned run.
  • The Cardinals are 3-1 in Wainwright’s four starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Wainwright’s team has won four of his eight starts.
  • Wainwright has started eight games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in four of them.

Cardinals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Drew VerHagen 31 34.1 34 4.46 7 0
Jordan Hicks 29 31.1 49 4.02 6 3
Chris Stratton 26 37.2 40 4.30 1 0
Giovanny Gallegos 26 28.2 28 3.77 7 8
Génesis Cabrera 25 27.1 32 5.27 4 0

Cubs Hitting Trends

  • The Cubs are 15-12 this season in games when they hit two or more bombs.
  • Chicago has put up at least five extra-base hits in 14 games this season, and has gone 12-2 in those outings.
  • The club has totaled at least eight hits in 49 games this season, and is 35-14 in those contests.
  • Chicago is 27-6 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Cubs have gone 16-14 in the 30 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Cardinals Hitting Trends

  • They have won 27 of the 39 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • St. Louis has gone 22-3 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 52 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 33-19.
  • St. Louis has won 30 of its 37 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have won nine of their 23 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Cubs vs. Cardinals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-129)
Over/Under Pick: Under (13.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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