Rangers vs. Yankees Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 23, 2023

The Texas Rangers (46-28) and New York Yankees (41-34) clash in the first of a three-game series on Friday at Yankee Stadium, at 7:05 PM ET. The Rangers are coming off a series victory over the White Sox, and the Yankees a series win over the Mariners.

The Rangers are projected as a tight favorite (-112 on the moneyline) against the Yankees (-106). The total in the game is set at 8.5 total runs.

The insights in the following article reference odds valid as of June 23, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Rangers vs Yankees Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Rangers -112 -106 8.5

Rangers Betting Insights

  • The Rangers have been favorites in 46 games this season and won 30 (65.2%) of those contests.
  • Texas has entered 44 games this season favored by -112 or more and is 29-15 in those contests.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rangers have a 52.8% chance to win.
  • Texas and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 41 of 74 opportunities.
  • The Rangers are 47-27-0 against the spread this season.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 16
ERA 4.30
K/9 7.0

Yankees Betting Insights

  • The Yankees have come away with 11 wins in the 25 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, New York has won 11 of 25 games when listed as at least -106 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 51.5% chance of pulling out a win.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 32 of its 75 opportunities.
  • The Yankees have an against the spread mark of 40-35-0 in 75 games with a line this season.

Yankees Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.2
HR 11
ERA 4.50
K/9 8.4

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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Dane Dunning

  • Dunning’s team is 5-3-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed six hits in six innings pitched against the Toronto Blue Jays on Saturday.
  • Dunning will look to finish five or more innings for the ninth start in a row.
  • He has made 16 appearances and finished seven of them without allowing an earned run.
  • Dunning’s team has won 50% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (3-3).
  • Dunning’s team is 4-4 when he starts this season.
  • In games Dunning has started this season, the teams are 4-4-0 at hitting the over.

Rangers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Will Smith 27 28.2 32 2.83 4 13
José Leclerc 23 23.2 25 3.42 1 1
Brock Burke 22 28.2 23 3.14 8 0
Josh Sborz 21 30 39 2.70 8 0
Grant Anderson 9 13 13 4.15 2 0

Yankees Probable Pitcher – Clarke Schmidt

  • Schmidt (2-6) takes the mound first for the Yankees in his 16th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.65 ERA in 71 2/3 innings pitched, with 73 strikeouts.
  • In his last time out on Sunday, the right-hander tossed 4 2/3 innings against the Boston Red Sox, allowing two earned runs while surrendering five hits.
  • Schmidt heads into this game with eight outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
  • He has had three appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Yankees have been the moneyline underdog in five of Schmidt’s starts this season, and they went 1-4 in those matchups.
  • Schmidt’s team has a 4-11 record in his 15 starts.
  • Schmidt’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in four of 15 contests.

Yankees Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Wandy Peralta 32 29 24 2.79 8 4
Clay Holmes 30 30.2 38 1.76 4 9
Ron Marinaccio 28 32.2 40 3.31 6 1
Jimmy Cordero 26 29 32 3.41 8 0
Albert Abreu 26 35 38 3.09 3 0

Rangers Hitting Trends

  • The Rangers have hit at least two home runs in 35 games this season, and are 28-7 in those outings.
  • Texas has gone 19-9 in its 28 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team is 47-16 in the games this season it has totaled eight or more hits.
  • Texas has a 43-13 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Rangers have gone 18-12 in the 30 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Yankees Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 46 games this season and are 35-11 in those matchups.
  • New York has won eight of its 10 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have a record of 34-15 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • New York has a 30-11 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In 19 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 13-6

Rangers vs. Yankees Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-112)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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