The Pittsburgh Pirates (34-40) hope to end their 10-game losing run versus the Miami Marlins (43-33), at 6:40 PM ET on Friday.
The Pirates (+176 underdog on the moneyline) are away versus the Marlins (-211). The over/under in the game is set at 7.5 total runs.
The betting facts in this article reflect odds as of June 23, 2023 at 3:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -211 | +176 | 7.5 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have entered the game as favorites 35 times this season and won 22, or 62.9%, of those games.
- This season Miami has won two of its three games when favored by at least -211 on the moneyline.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 67.8% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
- Games involving Miami has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 35 of 76 chances this season.
- The Marlins are 36-40-0 ATS in their 76 games with a spread this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 3.68 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been underdogs in 55 games this season and have come away with the win 22 times (40%) in those contests.
- Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 1-2 when favored by +176 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 36.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 37 of its 74 opportunities.
- The Pirates are 33-41-0 against the spread in their 74 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 0-10 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.4 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 6.72 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Jesus Luzardo
- Luzardo and his team have a record of 9-6-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The left-hander gave up two earned runs in six innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Washington Nationals.
- In 15 starts, Luzardo has pitched through or past the fifth inning 12 times. He has a season average of 5.5 frames per outing.
- He has one appearance with no earned runs allowed in 15 chances this season.
- Luzardo’s team has a record of 4-1 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- In games Luzardo has started, his team is 10-5.
- Games Luzardo has started this season hit the over seven times in 15 chances.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nardi | 32 | 32.1 | 40 | 2.78 | 5 | 2 |
| Tanner Scott | 30 | 34.2 | 50 | 3.37 | 12 | 2 |
| Dylan Floro | 29 | 29.1 | 31 | 3.99 | 8 | 7 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 28 | 37 | 40 | 3.65 | 9 | 0 |
| Steven Okert | 24 | 25.1 | 35 | 2.13 | 7 | 0 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Luis Ortiz
- Ortiz (1-3) gets the starting nod for the Pirates in his eighth start of the season. He’s put together a 4.30 ERA in 37 2/3 innings pitched, with 26 strikeouts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Sunday against the Milwaukee Brewers, when he tossed 4 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while giving up four hits.
- Ortiz enters this game with five outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
- So far during the 2023 campaign he has given up one or more earned runs in each of his appearances.
- The Pirates have a 2-4 record in Ortiz’s six starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Ortiz’s team has a 2-5 record over his seven starts.
- Ortiz has started seven games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in four of them.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauri Moreta | 32 | 33 | 44 | 3.82 | 4 | 1 |
| David Bednar | 27 | 27 | 32 | 1.67 | 0 | 14 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 19 | 24.1 | 14 | 5.18 | 3 | 2 |
| Angel Perdomo | 9 | 9.2 | 15 | 3.72 | 1 | 0 |
| Chase De Jong | 6 | 11.1 | 7 | 13.5 | 0 | 0 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins have hit at least two home runs in 25 games this season, and are 8-17 in those outings.
- Miami has had five or more extra-base hits in 13 games this season, and has gone 12-1 in those outings.
- The club is 37-27 in the games this season it has racked up at least eight hits.
- Miami is 29-10 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Marlins have drawn five or more walks in 19 games this season, and are 8-11 in those contests.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They are 16-5 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 15-2.
- They have won 24 of the 33 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Pittsburgh has a 21-4 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 12-11 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Marlins vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Marlins (-211)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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