Rays vs. Royals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 23, 2023

The Tampa Bay Rays (52-26) host the Kansas City Royals (21-54) at 6:40 PM ET on Friday.

The Rays are favored (-270 on the moneyline) when they square off against the Royals (+223). The contest has a set total of 7.5.

The betting trends in the following article are based off odds valid as of June 23, 2023 at 3:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Rays vs Royals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Rays -270 +223 7.5

Rays Betting Insights

  • The Rays have won 47, or 70.1%, of the 67 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Tampa Bay has a record of 5-2 when favored by -270 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 73% chance of a victory for the Rays.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 43 of its 78 games with a total this season.
  • The Rays are 46-32-0 against the spread this season.

Rays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 8
ERA 3.56
K/9 9.9

Royals Betting Insights

  • The Royals have been chosen as underdogs in 62 games this year and have walked away with the win 18 times (29%) in those games.
  • This season, Kansas City has been victorious two times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +223 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 31% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Contests with Kansas City has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 33 of 75 chances this season.
  • In 75 games with a line this season, the Royals have a mark of 29-46-0 against the spread.

Royals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 6
ERA 4.96
K/9 7.2

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Rays Probable Pitcher – Zach Eflin

  • Eflin and his team have a record of 6-7-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed four hits in six innings against the San Diego Padres.
  • Eflin has started 13 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 12 times. He averages 5.9 innings per appearance.
  • He has made 13 appearances and finished two of them without allowing an earned run.
  • Eflin’s team has a record of 10-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • In games Eflin has started, his team is 10-3.
  • In games Eflin has started this season, the teams are 5-8-0 at hitting the over.

Rays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jason Adam 32 32.1 41 3.06 7 10
Colin Poche 30 27.2 20 2.28 12 1
Jake Diekman 29 24.1 25 5.18 7 0
Kevin Kelly 29 34.2 28 3.12 8 2
Robert Stephenson 26 21.2 27 4.57 8 0

Royals Probable Pitcher – Zack Greinke

  • The Royals will send Greinke (1-7) out to make his 16th start of the season. He is 1-7 with a 4.81 ERA and 58 strikeouts in 76 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent appearance on Sunday, the righty went five innings against the Los Angeles Angels, giving up four earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
  • Greinke will try to build on a three-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.1 frames per appearance).
  • In two of his 15 total appearances this season he has not allowed an earned run.
  • The Royals are 3-10 in Greinke’s 13 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Greinke’s team is 3-12 over his 15 starts.
  • Greinke has had 15 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in five of those matchups.

Royals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jose Cuas 30 31.2 40 4.55 2 0
Taylor Clarke 28 32.2 37 4.41 8 0
Aroldis Chapman 26 26.1 48 2.73 8 2
Scott Barlow 25 27.2 39 3.9 0 9
Carlos Hernandez 24 36.2 46 4.66 3 0

Rays Hitting Trends

  • The Rays have racked up at least two round-trippers in 40 games this season, and are 31-9 in those contests.
  • Tampa Bay has gone 23-2 in its 25 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team has notched at least eight hits in 62 games this season, and is 40-22 in those contests.
  • Tampa Bay has a 40-16 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Rays have drawn at least five walks in 22 games this season, and are 18-4 in those contests.

Royals Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 16 games this season and are 5-11 in those matchups.
  • Kansas City has won seven of its 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have a record of 16-29 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Kansas City has a 13-10 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 2-10 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Rays vs. Royals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rays (-270)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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