The Seattle Mariners (36-37) visit the Baltimore Orioles (45-28) to open a three-game series at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, with first pitch at 7:05 PM ET on Friday. The Mariners are on the back of a series defeat to the Yankees, and the Orioles a series split with the Rays.
Oddsmakers project the Mariners as a tight favorite (-111 on the moneyline) against the Orioles (-108). The contest has a set total of 8.5.
The betting insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of June 23, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mariners vs Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -111 | -108 | 8.5 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- This season, the Mariners have won 27 out of the 50 games, or 54%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Seattle is 27-22 this season when entering a game favored by -111 or more on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 52.6% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
- Seattle and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 35 of 73 opportunities.
- The Mariners have an ATS record of 32-41-0 in 73 games with a spread this season.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 3.03 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have come away with 19 wins in the 39 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Baltimore has won 18 of 36 games when listed as at least -108 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 51.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Contests with Baltimore has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 36 of 73 chances this season.
- The Orioles are 45-28-0 against the spread in their 73 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 4.14 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Logan Gilbert
- When Gilbert starts, his team is 5-9-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed six hits in 5 1/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox.
- Gilbert has started 14 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 11 times. He averages 5.7 innings per appearance.
- He has allowed at least one earned run in every appearance this season.
- When Gilbert starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 3-8.
- Gilbert’s team is 6-8 when he starts this season.
- Out of Gilbert’s 14 starts with a total this season, seven have hit the over.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 35 | 29.2 | 56 | 3.94 | 6 | 1 |
| Gabe Speier | 31 | 25.2 | 24 | 2.45 | 7 | 0 |
| Paul Sewald | 30 | 29.1 | 41 | 2.76 | 0 | 13 |
| Justin Topa | 29 | 28.1 | 25 | 3.18 | 13 | 1 |
| Tayler Saucedo | 18 | 18.1 | 19 | 2.95 | 0 | 0 |
Orioles Probable Pitcher – Kyle Gibson
- The Orioles will send Gibson (8-4) to the mound for his 16th start of the season. He is 8-4 with a 3.94 ERA and 65 strikeouts in 89 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent time out on Saturday, the righty went six innings against the Chicago Cubs, allowing three earned runs while surrendering three hits.
- Gibson is trying for his 10th straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.9 innings per start.
- In one of his 15 total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
- The Orioles are 4-4 in Gibson’s eight starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Gibson’s team is 9-6 in his 15 starts.
- Gibson has had 15 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and six of those outings finished over the total.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Baumann | 33 | 37.1 | 40 | 4.34 | 5 | 0 |
| Bryan Baker | 32 | 30 | 38 | 4.20 | 10 | 0 |
| Felix Bautista | 31 | 34.2 | 69 | 1.04 | 0 | 20 |
| Yeinier Cano | 30 | 37.1 | 34 | 0.96 | 17 | 4 |
| Danny Coulombe | 30 | 25.1 | 34 | 2.49 | 14 | 0 |
Mariners Hitting Trends
- The Mariners have hit two or more round-trippers in 24 games this season, and are 17-7 in those contests.
- Seattle has racked up at least five extra-base hits in nine games this season, and has gone 8-1 in those outings.
- The club has totaled at least eight hits 46 times this season, and has a 28-18 record in those games.
- Seattle is 33-7 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Mariners are 20-7 over the 27 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Orioles Hitting Trends
- They have won 22 of the 32 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 21 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 19-2.
- In 48 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 33-15.
- Baltimore has won 34 of its 42 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 16-3 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Mariners vs. Orioles Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-108)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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