The San Diego Padres (36-39) host the Washington Nationals (28-46) to start a three-game series at PETCO Park, with first pitch at 9:40 PM ET on Friday. The Padres are coming off a series defeat to the Giants, and the Nationals a series loss to the Diamondbacks.
The Padres are heavily favored at home (-280) at the Nationals (+233). The contest has an over/under of 8.5.
The betting facts in this article reference odds valid as of June 23, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -280 | +233 | 8.5 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have entered the game as favorites 53 times this season and won 28, or 52.8%, of those games.
- San Diego has played as favorites of -280 or more once this season and lost that game.
- The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 73.7%.
- San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 26 of its 75 games with a total this season.
- The Padres are 35-40-0 against the spread in their 75 chances this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 3.58 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been victorious in 26, or 36.6%, of the 71 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This year, Washington has won one of three games when listed as at least +233 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 30% chance of walking away with the win.
- Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 34 of its 74 opportunities.
- The Nationals have posted a record of 41-33-0 against the spread this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.3 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 4.45 |
| K/9 | 7.5 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Joe Musgrove
- Musgrove and his team are 5-5-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed six hits in six innings pitched against the Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday.
- Musgrove has pitched five or more innings in eight straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has made 10 appearances and finished two of them without allowing an earned run.
- Musgrove’s team has won 75% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-2).
- Musgrove’s team is 6-4 when he starts this season.
- In Musgrove’s 10 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over three times.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Wilson | 33 | 36 | 40 | 2.5 | 16 | 0 |
| Tim Hill | 31 | 31 | 21 | 3.19 | 9 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 30 | 28.2 | 42 | 1.26 | 0 | 18 |
| Brent Honeywell Jr. | 25 | 36.1 | 35 | 3.47 | 3 | 0 |
| Luís Garcia | 24 | 22 | 22 | 5.73 | 8 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Patrick Corbin
- Corbin (4-8 with a 4.89 ERA and 54 strikeouts in 84 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Nationals, his 16th of the season.
- His last appearance was on Sunday against the Miami Marlins, when the lefty went six innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing 11 hits.
- Corbin is aiming for his 15th straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.6 innings per start.
- So far during the 2023 campaign he has given up one or more earned runs in all of his appearances.
- The Nationals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 14 of Corbin’s starts this season, and they went 6-8 in those games.
- Corbin’s team has won seven of his 15 starts.
- Corbin has had 15 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in seven of those matchups.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Harvey | 30 | 31.2 | 35 | 3.69 | 11 | 4 |
| Mason Thompson | 28 | 36 | 31 | 3.25 | 4 | 1 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 28 | 29 | 30 | 4.03 | 4 | 11 |
| Thad Ward | 18 | 27.2 | 25 | 5.86 | 0 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 14 | 17 | 12 | 8.47 | 1 | 0 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres are 15-15 this season in games when they hit at least two bombs.
- San Diego has put up at least five extra-base hits in 18 games this season, and has gone 12-6 in those contests.
- The team is 27-12 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
- San Diego is 29-4 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Padres have drawn at least five walks in 32 games this season, and are 19-13 in those contests.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They have won eight of the 14 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Washington has gone 9-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 50 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 25-25.
- Washington has a 18-10 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 16 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 7-9
Padres vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-280)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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