The Cleveland Guardians (36-38) will aim to keep a four-game win streak alive when they host the Milwaukee Brewers (38-36) at 7:10 PM ET on Friday.
The Brewers are an away underdog (+116) versus the Guardians (-136). The contest has an over/under of 8.
The insights in the following article use the latest odds as of June 23, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Guardians vs Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -136 | +116 | 8 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- This season, the Guardians have won 21 out of the 39 games, or 53.8%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Cleveland has a record of 12-11 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -136 on the moneyline.
- The Guardians have a 57.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 30 of 74 opportunities.
- The Guardians are 36-38-0 ATS in their 74 games with a spread this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.14 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have been underdogs in 33 games this season and have come away with the win 16 times (48.5%) in those contests.
- This season, Milwaukee has come away with a win eight times in 20 chances when named as an underdog of at least +116 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 46.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 31 of its 74 opportunities.
- The Brewers are 33-41-0 against the spread in their 74 games that had a posted line this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 4.25 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Shane Bieber
- When Bieber starts, his team is 7-8-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed 7 1/3 innings while giving up five earned runs on seven hits in a matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks.
- Bieber will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
- He has three appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 15 chances this season.
- Bieber’s team has won 54.5% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-5).
- Bieber’s team has won six of his 15 starts this season.
- Games started by Bieber have a 5-9-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 34 | 35.1 | 32 | 2.55 | 0 | 22 |
| Trevor Stephan | 32 | 31 | 34 | 2.32 | 10 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 31 | 31 | 28 | 2.90 | 5 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 28 | 31.1 | 31 | 1.72 | 4 | 1 |
| Nick Sandlin | 25 | 27.1 | 25 | 3.29 | 2 | 0 |
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Wade Miley
- Miley (4-2) takes the mound first for the Brewers in his 10th start of the season. He has a 3.28 ERA in 46 2/3 innings pitched, with 28 strikeouts.
- In his most recent appearance on Saturday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, the lefty threw five scoreless innings while surrendering two hits.
- Miley is looking to record his ninth start of five or more innings this year in this outing.
- He has had three appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Brewers have a 4-2 record in Miley’s six starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Miley’s team has a 6-3 record over his nine starts.
- Miley’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in four of nine games.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 32 | 28.2 | 24 | 2.83 | 5 | 0 |
| Peter Strzelecki | 31 | 32.1 | 33 | 4.73 | 14 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 30 | 33.1 | 37 | 2.43 | 12 | 1 |
| Devin Williams | 24 | 24.2 | 35 | 1.82 | 0 | 13 |
| Bryse Wilson | 24 | 36 | 28 | 2.75 | 2 | 3 |
Guardians Hitting Trends
- The Guardians are 8-2 this season in games when they send out two or more homers.
- Cleveland has had at least five extra-base hits in 13 games this season, and has gone 9-4 in those contests.
- The team has notched eight or more hits 43 times this season, and has a 23-20 record in those games.
- Cleveland is 19-5 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Guardians have drawn at least five walks in 20 games this season, and are 11-9 in those contests.
Brewers Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 36 games this season and are 30-6 in those matchups.
- Milwaukee is undefeated in five games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 27-9 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Milwaukee has won 37 of its 41 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 26 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 19-7
Guardians vs. Brewers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Guardians (-136)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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