Twins vs. Tigers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 22, 2023

Byron Buxton leads the Minnesota Twins (38-38) into a contest with the Detroit Tigers (32-41) a game after homering twice in a 6-0 victory over the Red Sox. It starts at 6:40 PM ET on Friday.

The Tigers play as a home underdog (+111) against the Twins (-131). The over/under for this game is set at 9.

The betting facts in what follows use the latest odds as of June 23, 2023 at 3:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Twins vs Tigers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Twins -131 +111 9

Twins Betting Insights

  • The Twins have won 29, or 61.7%, of the 47 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Minnesota has a record of 20-16 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -131 on the moneyline.
  • The Twins have a 56.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in 33 of its 76 chances.
  • The Twins are 36-40-0 against the spread this season.

Twins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4
HR 13
ERA 4.95
K/9 8.6

Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Tigers have won in 27, or 41.5%, of the 65 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Detroit has a mark of 23-33 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +111 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 47.4% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Detroit and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 40 of its 74 opportunities.
  • The Tigers are 41-33-0 against the spread in their 74 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Tigers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 15
ERA 3.80
K/9 9.7

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Twins Probable Pitcher – Kenta Maeda

  • Maeda’s team is 2-2-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, April 26 against the New York Yankees, throwing three innings and giving up 10 earned runs.
  • This will be Maeda’s first game as the moneyline favorite this season.
  • Maeda’s team has yet to win in any of his starts this season.
  • Games Maeda has started this season hit the over two times in four chances.

Twins Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Griffin Jax 33 32 32 3.09 9 1
Jovani Moran 27 30.1 34 4.45 7 0
Jhoan Duran 26 29 38 1.55 1 9
Emilio Pagán 25 31.2 28 3.98 0 0
Brock Stewart 22 23 30 0.78 6 1

Tigers Probable Pitcher – Joey Wentz

  • Wentz makes the start for the Tigers, his 14th of the season. He is 1-7 with a 6.82 ERA and 57 strikeouts over 62 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The lefty last pitched on Saturday against the Minnesota Twins, when he threw six innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up two hits.
  • Wentz has pitched five or more innings in a game six times this year entering this game.
  • So far during the 2023 campaign he has surrendered at least one earned run in all of his outings.
  • The Tigers are 6-8 in Wentz’s 14 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Over Wentz’s 13 starts, his team is 5-8.
  • Wentz has had 14 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in nine of those outings.

Tigers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jason Foley 31 32.1 28 2.51 12 3
Alex Lange 30 29.1 38 3.99 2 11
José Cisnero 29 28.2 31 2.2 6 1
Chasen Shreve 28 28 29 3.86 8 0
Will Vest 21 28 29 2.89 4 0

Twins Hitting Trends

  • The Twins have racked up at least two round-trippers in 38 games this season, and are 31-7 in those outings.
  • Minnesota has gone 23-1 in its 24 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has totaled at least eight hits 47 times this season, and has a 37-10 record in those games.
  • Minnesota is 38-4 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Twins have gone 16-10 over the 26 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Tigers Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 17 games this season and are 10-7 in those matchups.
  • In 13 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 9-4.
  • They have a record of 31-10 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Detroit has a 28-7 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 14-8 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Twins vs. Tigers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Twins (-131)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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