Two division leaders square off when the NL East-leading Atlanta Braves (48-26) visit the NL East-leading Cincinnati Reds (40-35) at 6:40 PM ET on Friday.
The Reds (+131 underdog on the moneyline to win) take the field at home against the Braves (-156). The matchup has an over/under set at 11 total runs.
The betting insights in the article below reflect odds as of June 23, 2023 at 3:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -156 | +131 | 11 |
Braves Betting Insights
- This season, the Braves have won 41 out of the 63 games, or 65.1%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Atlanta has entered 39 games this season favored by -156 or more and is 26-13 in those contests.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 60.9% chance to win.
- Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 41 of its 74 games with a total this season.
- The Braves are 37-37-0 against the spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 7.2 |
| HR | 22 |
| ERA | 3.46 |
| K/9 | 10.2 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have come away with 28 wins in the 56 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 16-17 when favored by +131 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The Reds have an implied victory probability of 43.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 42 of its 75 opportunities.
- The Reds are 45-30-0 against the spread in their 75 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 10-0 |
| Runs Per Game | 6 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 3.62 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – A.J. Smith-Shawver
- Smith-Shawver has a record of 1-1-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, June 15, when he threw 5 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs while allowing six hits against the Colorado Rockies.
- Smith-Shawver has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Smith-Shawver’s team is 2-0 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Smith-Shawver’s team is 2-0 when he starts this season.
- In the two games with a total started by Smith-Shawver this season, the teams hit the over once.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 36 | 34.2 | 43 | 5.19 | 5 | 10 |
| Nick Anderson | 28 | 30.1 | 33 | 3.26 | 11 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 24 | 24.1 | 31 | 3.7 | 4 | 0 |
| Kirby Yates | 24 | 26.1 | 35 | 3.42 | 4 | 0 |
| Collin McHugh | 21 | 30 | 19 | 2.7 | 5 | 0 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Luke Weaver
- The Reds will send Weaver (1-2) out to make his 12th start of the season. He is 1-2 with a 6.47 ERA and 50 strikeouts in 57 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent time out on Sunday, the right-hander threw five innings against the Houston Astros, allowing five earned runs while surrendering 10 hits.
- Weaver enters this game with seven outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
- He has had one outing this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Reds have a 6-5 record in Weaver’s 11 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Over Weaver’s 11 starts, his team is 6-5.
- Weaver has started 11 contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in seven of them.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 32 | 35.1 | 29 | 3.31 | 6 | 1 |
| Buck Farmer | 32 | 36.1 | 32 | 2.48 | 6 | 2 |
| Alex Young | 31 | 30 | 32 | 2.7 | 8 | 1 |
| Alexis Diaz | 30 | 31 | 55 | 2.03 | 1 | 20 |
| Lucas Sims | 26 | 27.2 | 34 | 2.6 | 11 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have hit two or more homers in 37 games this season, and are 28-9 in those outings.
- Atlanta has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 17 games this season, and won every time.
- The club has collected eight or more hits in 53 games this season, and is 38-15 in those contests.
- Atlanta is 39-7 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Braves have drawn five or more walks in 22 games this season, and are 14-8 in those contests.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 20 games this season and are 18-2 in those matchups.
- In 23 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 19-4.
- In 57 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 41-16.
- Cincinnati has won 44 of its 50 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 12 of their 29 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Braves vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-156)
Over/Under Pick: Under (11)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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