Dodgers vs. Astros Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 22, 2023

The Los Angeles Dodgers (41-33) host the Houston Astros (41-34) to open a three-game series at Dodger Stadium, with first pitch at 10:10 PM ET on Friday. The Dodgers are on the back of a series victory over the Angels, and the Astros a series win over the Mets.

The favored Dodgers (-192 on the moneyline to win) take the field at home against the Astros (+160). The matchup has an over/under of 9 total runs.

The betting trends in what follows reference odds valid as of June 23, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Dodgers vs Astros Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Dodgers -192 +160 9

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have entered the game as favorites 61 times this season and won 35, or 57.4%, of those games.
  • Los Angeles has a record of 7-7, a 50% win rate, when favored by -192 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Dodgers have a 65.8% chance to win.
  • Los Angeles’ games have gone over the total in 40 of its 74 chances.
  • In 74 games with a spread this season, the Dodgers are 39-35-0 ATS.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 9
ERA 4.65
K/9 9.7

Astros Betting Insights

  • The Astros have been chosen as underdogs in 20 games this year and have walked away with the win 12 times (60%) in those games.
  • Houston has yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +160.
  • The Astros have an implied victory probability of 38.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 37 of its 75 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Astros are 36-39-0 against the spread in their 75 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Astros Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 13
ERA 4.95
K/9 8.3

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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Emmet Sheehan

  • Sheehan and his team failed to cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday against the San Francisco Giants, throwing six innings without allowing a run or hit.
  • Sheehan’s team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Sheehan’s team lost in his only start this season.
  • The only game started by Sheehan with a total this season hit the over.

Dodgers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Yency Almonte 31 31.1 28 6.03 6 0
Brusdar Graterol 30 32 27 2.25 7 3
Caleb Ferguson 29 28 32 3.21 10 2
Evan Phillips 28 29.2 36 2.12 6 9
Alex Vesia 23 19 30 7.58 4 0

Astros Probable Pitcher – J.P. France

  • The Astros are sending France (2-2) to make his ninth start of the season. He is 2-2 with a 3.42 ERA and 38 strikeouts through 47 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last appeared on Saturday, June 17 against the Cincinnati Reds, when he threw 6 2/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up four hits.
  • France will look to pitch five or more innings for his sixth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.9 frames per outing.
  • He has had one outing this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Astros were named the moneyline underdog for one France start this season — they won.
  • France’s team has a 3-5 record in his starts this season.
  • France has had eight starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in four of those outings.

Astros Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Bryan Abreu 33 35.2 55 2.02 11 2
Phil Maton 32 37 42 1.46 4 0
Rafael Montero 31 30.2 35 7.04 5 1
Ryan Pressly 30 31.1 34 3.16 0 14
Héctor Neris 29 30 33 1.2 14 2

Dodgers Hitting Trends

  • The Dodgers have a 29-11 record in games this season when they belt at least two homers.
  • Los Angeles is 16-9 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club is 33-14 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
  • Los Angeles has a 35-11 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Dodgers have gone 24-11 in the 35 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Astros Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 21 games this season and are 15-6 in those matchups.
  • In 15 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 11-4.
  • In 52 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 41-11.
  • In 44 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 38-6.
  • In 22 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 17-5

Dodgers vs. Astros Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Dodgers (-192)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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