The Boston Red Sox (39-36) will look for Alex Verdugo to continue a 12-game hitting streak against the Minnesota Twins (37-38), on Thursday at 1:10 PM ET, at Target Field.
The Twins are favored at home (-151) versus the Red Sox (+128). The game’s total is set at 9.
The insights in this article are based off odds valid as of June 22, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -151 | +128 | 9 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have won 28, or 60.9%, of the 46 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- This season Minnesota has won 13 of its 23 games, or 56.5%, when favored by at least -151 on the moneyline.
- The Twins have a 60.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in 33 of its 75 chances.
- In 75 games with a spread this season, the Twins are 35-40-0 ATS.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.0 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.70 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have won in 20, or 46.5%, of the 43 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Boston has come away with a win 10 times in 17 chances when named as an underdog of at least +128 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 43.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Boston’s games have gone over the total in 42 of its 75 opportunities.
- In 75 games with a line this season, the Red Sox have a mark of 38-37-0 against the spread.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.6 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 2.81 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Joe Ryan
- When Ryan starts, his team is 8-6-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander gave up six earned runs in seven innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Detroit Tigers.
- Ryan has three starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has two appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 14 chances this season.
- Ryan’s team has won 54.5% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-5).
- In games Ryan has started, his team is 8-6.
- In games Ryan has started this season, the teams are 9-4-1 at hitting the over.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 33 | 32 | 32 | 3.09 | 9 | 1 |
| Jovani Moran | 27 | 30.1 | 34 | 4.45 | 7 | 0 |
| Jhoan Duran | 26 | 29 | 38 | 1.55 | 1 | 9 |
| Emilio Pagán | 25 | 31.2 | 28 | 3.98 | 0 | 0 |
| Brock Stewart | 22 | 23 | 30 | 0.78 | 6 | 1 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Justin Garza
- Garza makes his first start of the season for the Red Sox.
- The 29-year-old right-hander has 12 appearances in relief this season.
- Garza’s team was never the underdog on the moneyline a season ago in games he pitched.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Winckowski | 25 | 42.1 | 31 | 2.34 | 9 | 2 |
| Kenley Jansen | 24 | 24.2 | 29 | 2.92 | 0 | 15 |
| Chris Martin | 23 | 22.2 | 20 | 1.99 | 12 | 1 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 18 | 21.1 | 20 | 2.53 | 1 | 0 |
| Kaleb Ort | 15 | 18 | 20 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins have put up at least two homers in 37 games this season, and are 30-7 in those contests.
- Minnesota has collected at least five extra-base hits in 23 games this season, and has gone 22-1 in those contests.
- The team has put up eight or more hits 46 times this season, and has a 36-10 record in those games.
- Minnesota is 37-4 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Twins are 16-10 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They have won 16 of the 25 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 24 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 16-8.
- In 55 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 32-23.
- Boston has won 33 of its 42 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 11 of their 21 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-151)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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