Padres vs. Giants Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 22, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 22, 2023

The San Francisco Giants (42-32) aim to prolong their 10-game winning streak when they take on the San Diego Padres (35-39) on Thursday at 3:45 PM ET, at Oracle Park.

The Padres are the road favorite (-143) versus the Giants (+121). The matchup has an over/under of 8.5 total runs.

The betting facts in what follows reference odds valid as of June 22, 2023 at 3:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Padres vs Giants Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Padres -143 +121 8.5

Padres Betting Insights

  • The Padres have been favorites in 52 games this season and won 27 (51.9%) of those contests.
  • San Diego has entered 35 games this season favored by -143 or more and is 21-14 in those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.8% chance of a victory for the Padres.
  • San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 25 of its 74 games with a total this season.
  • The Padres are 34-40-0 against the spread in their 74 chances this season.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 12
ERA 4.14
K/9 8.9

Giants Betting Insights

  • The Giants have won in 23, or 62.2%, of the 37 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • San Francisco has a win-loss record of 9-8 when favored by +121 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Giants have a 45.2% chance of walking away with the win.
  • San Francisco’s games have gone over the total in 36 of its 74 opportunities.
  • In 74 games with a line this season, the Giants have a mark of 41-33-0 against the spread.

Giants Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 10-0
Runs Per Game 8
HR 14
ERA 2.68
K/9 8.7

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Padres Probable Pitcher – Blake Snell

  • Snell and his team are 5-9-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The left-hander allowed two hits in six scoreless innings pitched against the Tampa Bay Rays on Saturday.
  • Snell has pitched five or more innings in five straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • He has three appearances with no earned runs allowed in 14 chances this season.
  • Snell’s team has won 44.4% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (4-5).
  • In games Snell has started, his team is 4-10.
  • Games Snell has started this season hit the over five times in 14 chances.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Steven Wilson 33 36 40 2.5 16 0
Tim Hill 31 31 21 3.19 9 0
Josh Hader 30 28.2 42 1.26 0 18
Brent Honeywell Jr. 25 36.1 35 3.47 3 0
Nick Martínez 23 57.1 46 3.3 9 1

Giants Probable Pitcher – Alex Wood

  • Wood gets the start for the Giants, his ninth of the season. He is 2-1 with a 4.11 ERA and 34 strikeouts over 35 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent appearance on Sunday, the lefty tossed five scoreless innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers while surrendering three hits.
  • Wood has pitched five or more innings in a game two times this year entering this matchup.
  • He has had two appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
  • The Giants have been the moneyline underdog in four of Wood’s starts this season, and they went 3-1 in those games.
  • Wood’s team has compiled a 5-3 record over his eight starts.
  • Wood’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in six of eight games.

Giants Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Camilo Doval 34 33.2 48 1.87 0 20
Tyler Rogers 31 35.2 26 1.77 15 2
Taylor Rogers 29 26 33 2.77 3 1
Jakob Junis 18 41 50 4.39 1 1
Tristan Beck 14 38.1 32 3.05 2 2

Padres Hitting Trends

  • The Padres have racked up at least two long balls in 29 games this season, and are 14-15 in those contests.
  • San Diego has gone 11-6 in its 17 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has collected eight or more hits in 38 games this season, and is 26-12 in those contests.
  • San Diego is 28-4 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Padres are 18-13 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Giants Hitting Trends

  • They are 18-14 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 11-7.
  • They have won 30 of the 46 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • San Francisco has a 27-13 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In 23 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 17-6

Padres vs. Giants Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Giants (+121)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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