The Atlanta Braves (47-26) aim to add to their seven-game winning streak when they square off against the Philadelphia Phillies (38-35) on Thursday at 1:05 PM ET, at Citizens Bank Park.
The Phillies are a home favorite (-122) against the Braves (+103). The game’s total is set at 8.
The betting facts in the following article use the latest odds as of June 22, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Braves Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -122 | +103 | 8 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have won 25, or 58.1%, of the 43 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- This season Philadelphia has won 22 of its 34 games, or 64.7%, when favored by at least -122 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 55%.
- Games involving Philadelphia has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 29 of 73 chances this season.
- The Phillies are 32-41-0 against the spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.77 |
| K/9 | 9.7 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have won in five of the nine contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This year, Atlanta has won three of four games when listed as at least +103 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Braves have a 49.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 41 of its 73 opportunities.
- The Braves have posted a record of 36-37-0 against the spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 7.3 |
| HR | 23 |
| ERA | 3.90 |
| K/9 | 9.7 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Aaron Nola
- Nola’s team is 5-10-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings while giving up four earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks.
- Nola has 14 starts in a row of five innings or more.
- In 15 appearances this season, he has finished one without allowing an earned run.
- Nola’s team has a record of 6-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Nola’s team has won seven of his 15 starts this season.
- Out of Nola’s 15 starts with a total this season, eight have hit the over.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Soto | 31 | 27.2 | 29 | 4.88 | 11 | 1 |
| Craig Kimbrel | 30 | 28 | 44 | 4.50 | 3 | 10 |
| Andrew Vasquez | 23 | 34 | 30 | 1.85 | 0 | 0 |
| José Alvarado | 19 | 19.1 | 33 | 2.33 | 5 | 6 |
| Yunior Marte | 17 | 15.2 | 17 | 6.89 | 1 | 1 |
Braves Probable Pitcher – Bryce Elder
- Elder (5-1 with a 2.60 ERA and 69 strikeouts in 83 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Braves, his 15th of the season.
- In his last appearance on Saturday, the righty went six innings against the Colorado Rockies, giving up one earned run while surrendering four hits.
- Elder will try to build on a 15-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.9 frames per outing).
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in four of his 14 appearances this season.
- The Braves have a 2-1 record in Elder’s three starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Elder’s team has a 10-4 record in his starts this season.
- Elder’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in five of 14 contests.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 35 | 33.2 | 40 | 5.35 | 5 | 10 |
| Nick Anderson | 27 | 29.1 | 33 | 3.38 | 11 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 24 | 24.1 | 31 | 3.70 | 4 | 0 |
| Kirby Yates | 24 | 26.1 | 35 | 3.42 | 4 | 0 |
| Collin McHugh | 21 | 30 | 19 | 2.70 | 5 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have racked up two or more long balls in 20 games this season, and are 14-6 in those contests.
- Philadelphia has put up at least five extra-base hits in 18 games this season, and has gone 13-5 in those contests.
- The club has totaled eight or more hits in 49 games this season, and is 30-19 in those contests.
- Philadelphia is 27-5 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Phillies have drawn five or more walks in 22 games this season, and are 16-6 in those contests.
Braves Hitting Trends
- They have won 28 of the 37 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Atlanta is undefeated in 17 games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 38-15 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 45 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 38-7.
- In 22 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 14-8
Phillies vs. Braves Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (+103)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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