The Tampa Bay Rays (52-25) and Kansas City Royals (20-54) clash on Thursday at 6:40 PM ET, beginning a four-game series at Tropicana Field.
The Royals are a heavy road underdog (+268) at the Rays (-334). The over/under in the game is 7.5 total runs.
The betting insights in this article are based off odds valid as of June 22, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rays vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -334 | +268 | 7.5 |
Rays Betting Insights
- The Rays have entered the game as favorites 66 times this season and won 47, or 71.2%, of those games.
- Tampa Bay has not been bigger favorites this season than the -334 moneyline set for this game.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 77% chance of a victory for the Rays.
- So far this season, Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 42 of 77 games with a total.
- The Rays have an ATS record of 46-31-0 in 77 games with a spread this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 3.24 |
| K/9 | 9.8 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have come away with 17 wins in the 61 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This will be the worst odds to win that sportsbooks have placed on Kansas City this season with a +268 moneyline set for this game.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 27.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Kansas City and its opponents have gone over in 32 of its 74 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- In 74 games with a line this season, the Royals have a mark of 28-46-0 against the spread.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 5.63 |
| K/9 | 6.2 |
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Shane McClanahan
- McClanahan and his team are 11-4-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings while giving up one earned run on three hits in a matchup with the San Diego Padres.
- McClanahan has six starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has three appearances with no earned runs allowed in 15 chances this season.
- When McClanahan starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 12-2.
- In games McClanahan has started, his team is 13-2.
- In games McClanahan has started this season, the teams are 9-5-1 at hitting the over.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Adam | 31 | 31.1 | 40 | 2.59 | 7 | 10 |
| Colin Poche | 30 | 27.2 | 20 | 2.28 | 12 | 1 |
| Jake Diekman | 29 | 24.1 | 25 | 5.18 | 7 | 0 |
| Kevin Kelly | 28 | 33.1 | 28 | 3.24 | 8 | 2 |
| Robert Stephenson | 25 | 20.2 | 26 | 4.35 | 8 | 0 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Jose Cuas
- Cuas (3-0) takes the mound first for the Royals to make his third start of the season.
- His last appearance was in relief on Monday when the right-hander tossed one scoreless inning against the Detroit Tigers without allowing a hit.
- He is looking to have his fifth straight appearance with no earned runs allowed.
- The Royals were named the moneyline underdog for two Cuas starts this season — they lost both.
- His team has lost both of the matchups he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Cuas’ two starts with a total this season finished 1-1-0 against the total.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Cuas | 30 | 30.1 | 39 | 4.15 | 2 | 0 |
| Taylor Clarke | 27 | 32 | 36 | 3.66 | 8 | 0 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 25 | 25.1 | 45 | 2.84 | 8 | 2 |
| Scott Barlow | 24 | 26.2 | 37 | 4.05 | 0 | 8 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 23 | 35.2 | 44 | 4.79 | 3 | 0 |
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays have a 31-9 record in games this season when they belt at least two homers.
- Tampa Bay is 23-2 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 40-21 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
- Tampa Bay is 40-15 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Rays have drawn five or more walks in 22 games this season, and are 18-4 in those contests.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They are 5-11 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Kansas City has won seven of its 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 15 of the 44 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Kansas City has won 12 of its 22 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 12 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 2-10
Rays vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (-334)
Over/Under Pick: Under (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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