The Miami Marlins (42-33) have dropped two straight games as they prepare to play the Pittsburgh Pirates (34-39), who have lost nine in a row. Thursday’s matchup at LoanDepot park begins at 6:40 PM ET.
The Pirates are an underdog (+141 on the moneyline to win) when they visit the Marlins (-167). The over/under for the game is set at 7 total runs.
The betting facts in the article below reflect odds as of June 22, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -167 | +141 | 7 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- This season, the Marlins have been favored 34 times and won 21, or 61.8%, of those games.
- Miami is 7-1 this season when entering a game favored by -167 or more on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 62.5% chance to win.
- Miami’s games have gone over the total in 34 of its 75 chances.
- The Marlins have an ATS record of 35-40-0 in 75 games with a spread this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 3.89 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 54 games this year and have walked away with the win 22 times (40.7%) in those games.
- Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 4-6 when favored by +141 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 41.5% chance of pulling out a win.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over in 36 of its 73 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Pirates have posted a record of 33-40-0 against the spread this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 1-9 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.2 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 6.11 |
| K/9 | 9.7 |
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Braxton Garrett
- Garrett and his team are 7-5-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed six innings while giving up one earned run on four hits in a matchup with the Washington Nationals.
- Garrett will look to finish five or more innings for the ninth start in a row.
- He has finished three appearances without allowing an earned run in 14 chances this season.
- Garrett’s team is 4-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Garrett’s team has won nine of his 12 starts.
- Out of Garrett’s 12 starts with a total this season, five have hit the over.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nardi | 31 | 31.2 | 39 | 2.27 | 5 | 2 |
| Tanner Scott | 30 | 34.2 | 50 | 3.37 | 12 | 2 |
| Dylan Floro | 29 | 29.1 | 31 | 3.99 | 8 | 7 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 27 | 36.2 | 40 | 3.68 | 9 | 0 |
| Steven Okert | 24 | 25.1 | 35 | 2.13 | 7 | 0 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Mitch Keller
- Keller (8-3 with a 3.62 ERA and 108 strikeouts in 92 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Pirates, his 16th of the season.
- The right-hander’s most recent time out was on Saturday against the Milwaukee Brewers, when he tossed five innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up five hits.
- Keller will look to last five or more innings for his 15th straight start. He’s averaging 6.1 frames per outing.
- He has made two appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
- The Pirates have been the underdog on the moneyline in eight of Keller’s starts this season, and they went 6-2 in those matchups.
- Keller’s team has won 10 of his 15 starts.
- Keller’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in eight of 15 games.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauri Moreta | 31 | 33 | 44 | 3.00 | 4 | 1 |
| David Bednar | 27 | 27 | 32 | 1.67 | 0 | 14 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 19 | 24.1 | 14 | 5.18 | 3 | 2 |
| Angel Perdomo | 9 | 9.2 | 15 | 3.72 | 1 | 0 |
| Chase De Jong | 6 | 11.1 | 7 | 13.50 | 0 | 0 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins have put up at least two dingers in 25 games this season, and are 8-17 in those contests.
- Miami has put up five or more extra-base hits in 13 games this season, and has gone 12-1 in those outings.
- The team has strung together at least eight hits 63 times this season, and has a 36-27 record in those games.
- Miami has a 28-10 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Marlins are 8-11 in the 19 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 20 games this season and are 16-4 in those matchups.
- In 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 15-2.
- They have a record of 24-9 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Pittsburgh has a 21-4 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 12-11 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Marlins vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Marlins (-167)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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