Padres vs. Giants Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 21, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 21, 2023

The San Francisco Giants (41-32) aim to add on to their nine-game winning streak when they square off against the San Diego Padres (35-38) on Wednesday at 9:45 PM ET, at Oracle Park.

As the favorite, the Padres (-123 moneyline odds) visit the Giants (+104). The matchup has an over/under of 8.5 total runs.

The betting trends in the article below use the latest odds as of June 21, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Padres vs Giants Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Padres -123 +104 8.5

Padres Betting Insights

  • The Padres have been favorites in 51 games this season and won 27 (52.9%) of those contests.
  • San Diego has a record of 22-17 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -123 on the moneyline.
  • The Padres have a 55.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 25 of 73 games with a total.
  • In 73 games with a spread this season, the Padres are 34-39-0 ATS.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4
HR 12
ERA 3.89
K/9 8.7

Giants Betting Insights

  • The Giants have been victorious in 22, or 61.1%, of the 36 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • San Francisco has a mark of 12-11 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +104 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Giants have an implied victory probability of 49% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • San Francisco and its opponents have gone over in 36 of its 73 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Giants have an against the spread record of 40-33-0 in 73 games with a line this season.

Giants Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 9-1
Runs Per Game 7.6
HR 14
ERA 2.87
K/9 8.9

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Padres Probable Pitcher – Yu Darvish

  • Darvish and his team are 6-7-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up six earned runs and allowed eight hits in five innings against the Tampa Bay Rays.
  • Darvish has three starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • In 13 appearances this season, he has finished one without allowing an earned run.
  • Darvish’s team has a record of 5-5 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Darvish’s team is 6-7 when he starts this season.
  • Games started by Darvish have a 6-7-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Steven Wilson 33 36 40 2.5 16 0
Tim Hill 31 31 21 3.19 9 0
Josh Hader 30 28.2 42 1.26 0 18
Brent Honeywell Jr. 24 35.1 34 3.57 3 0
Nick Martínez 23 57.1 46 3.3 9 1

Giants Probable Pitcher – Ryan Walker

  • The Giants will send Walker (2-0) out to make his second start of the season.
  • His most recent appearance came on Tuesday against the San Diego Padres, when the righty threw 1 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing three hits.
  • The Giants were the underdog on the moneyline for one Walker start this season — they won.
  • His team has won the only game he’s appeared in this season.
  • Walker’s only start with a total this season went over.

Giants Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Camilo Doval 33 32.2 46 1.93 0 19
Tyler Rogers 30 34.2 26 1.56 14 2
Taylor Rogers 28 25 33 2.88 3 1
Jakob Junis 18 41 50 4.39 1 1
Tristan Beck 14 38.1 32 3.05 2 2

Padres Hitting Trends

  • The Padres have a 14-15 record this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
  • San Diego has gone 11-6 in its 17 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has notched eight or more hits in 37 games this season, and is 26-11 in those contests.
  • San Diego has a 28-4 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Padres have gone 18-12 over the 30 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Giants Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 32 games this season and are 18-14 in those matchups.
  • San Francisco has won 11 of its 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • In 45 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 29-16.
  • San Francisco has won 27 of its 40 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • In 23 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 17-6

Padres vs. Giants Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Giants (+104)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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