Angels vs. Dodgers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 21, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 21, 2023

The Los Angeles Dodgers (40-33) will look to sweep a two-game series versus the Los Angeles Angels (41-34), at 9:38 PM ET on Wednesday.

The Angels are favored at home (-145) against the Dodgers (+122). The total for this game is set at 9.

The betting facts in what follows are based off odds valid as of June 21, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Angels vs Dodgers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Angels -145 +122 9

Angels Betting Insights

  • The Angels have won 23, or 56.1%, of the 41 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • The Angels have a record of 12-6, a 66.7% win rate, when they’re favored by -145 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Angels have a 59.2% chance to win.
  • Games involving the Angels have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 37 of 75 chances this season.
  • The Angels are 39-36-0 ATS in their 75 games with a spread this season.

Angels Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 20
ERA 3.86
K/9 8.9

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have been underdogs in 12 games this season and have come away with the win five times (41.7%) in those contests.
  • The Dodgers have been listed as an underdog of +122 or more on two occasions this season and won both games.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Dodgers have a 45% chance of walking away with the win.
  • The Dodgers and their opponents have hit the over in 40 of their 73 games with a total this season.
  • The Dodgers have an against the spread record of 38-35-0 in 73 games with a line this season.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4
HR 9
ERA 5.18
K/9 9.8

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Angels Probable Pitcher – Shohei Ohtani

  • Ohtani and his team are 7-6-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Friday, when he threw six innings against the Texas Rangers, giving up two earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • Ohtani has made 13 starts of five or more innings in 13 chances this season, and averages 5.9 frames when he pitches.
  • He has three appearances with no earned runs allowed in 14 chances this season.
  • Ohtani’s team has won 72.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (8-3).
  • Ohtani’s team has won nine of his 13 starts.
  • Out of Ohtani’s 13 starts with a total this season, six have hit the over.

Angels Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Carlos Estévez 30 31 40 1.74 2 19
Aaron Loup 21 17.2 17 5.09 5 0
Chris Devenski 21 26.1 25 3.08 9 0
Tucker Davidson 14 26 26 6.58 0 2
Jaime Barria 12 46.1 40 2.14 2 0

Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Brusdar Graterol

  • The Dodgers will look to Graterol (2-2) to open the game and make his third start of the season.
  • The righty last appeared in relief on Saturday, when he threw one inning against the San Francisco Giants, allowing two earned runs while giving up two hits.
  • He has had 26 appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Dodgers have yet to be named a moneyline underdog when Graterol starts this season.
  • His team has won both of the games he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Graterol’s two starts with a total this season both went under.

Dodgers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Yency Almonte 30 30 26 6.3 5 0
Brusdar Graterol 30 30 24 2.4 7 3
Caleb Ferguson 28 27 32 3.33 9 2
Evan Phillips 27 28.2 35 2.2 6 8
Shelby Miller 25 30 31 2.4 2 1

Angels Hitting Trends

  • The Angels have hit at least two home runs in 30 games this season, and are 21-9 in those contests.
  • The Angels have gone 13-5 in the 18 games this season when they have put up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has put up at least eight hits in 52 games this season, and is 34-18 in those contests.
  • The Angels have a 33-10 record in games this season that they put up at least five runs.
  • The Angels are 14-8 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Dodgers Hitting Trends

  • They have won 29 of the 40 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • They’ve won 16 of their 25 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have a record of 33-14 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • They have won 35 of their 46 games this season in which they scored more than four runs.
  • They have won 24 of their 35 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Angels vs. Dodgers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Angels (-145)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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