The Toronto Blue Jays (40-35) and Miami Marlins (42-32) play on Wednesday at 12:10 PM ET at LoanDepot park, attempting to break a 1-1 series tie.
The Blue Jays are favored (-135 moneyline odds to win) when they visit the Marlins (+115). The contest has an over/under of 7.5.
The betting insights in what follows reflect odds as of June 21, 2023 at 9:12 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Blue Jays vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | -135 | +115 | 7.5 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- This season, the Blue Jays have won 28 out of the 51 games, or 54.9%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Toronto has a record of 18-15, a 54.5% win rate, when favored by -135 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The implied probability of a win from the Blue Jays, based on the moneyline, is 57.4%.
- So far this season, Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 34 of 75 games with a total.
- The Blue Jays have an ATS record of 34-41-0 in 75 games with a spread this season.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 5.93 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have won in 21, or 52.5%, of the 40 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Miami has a win-loss record of 13-10 when favored by +115 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 46.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Contests with Miami has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 33 of 74 chances this season.
- The Marlins are 35-39-0 against the spread in their 74 games that had a posted line this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 3.38 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Kevin Gausman
- Gausman’s team is 5-10-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in six innings pitched against the Texas Rangers on Saturday.
- Gausman has started 15 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 12 times. He averages 6.1 innings per appearance.
- In 15 appearances this season, he has finished six without allowing an earned run.
- Gausman’s team is 9-5 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Gausman’s team has a 9-6 record in his starts this season.
- Games started by Gausman have a 6-9-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Mayza | 35 | 25.2 | 24 | 1.4 | 8 | 1 |
| Erik Swanson | 33 | 34 | 42 | 2.65 | 18 | 1 |
| Yimi Garcia | 32 | 31.1 | 38 | 5.46 | 8 | 0 |
| Jordan Romano | 30 | 30.1 | 37 | 2.67 | 1 | 21 |
| Adam Cimber | 22 | 20.2 | 12 | 7.4 | 1 | 1 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Sandy Alcantara
- Alcantara makes the start for the Marlins, his 15th of the season. He is 2-5 with a 5.08 ERA and 72 strikeouts in 88 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty last pitched on Friday against the Washington Nationals, when he threw 5 1/3 innings, allowing five earned runs while giving up 10 hits.
- Alcantara will aim to go five or more innings for his 12th straight start. He’s averaging 6.3 innings per outing.
- He has had one outing this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Marlins have a 1-3 record in Alcantara’s four starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Alcantara’s team has won six of his 14 starts.
- Alcantara’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in nine of 14 contests.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nardi | 31 | 31.2 | 39 | 2.27 | 5 | 2 |
| Tanner Scott | 30 | 34.2 | 50 | 3.37 | 12 | 2 |
| Dylan Floro | 29 | 29.1 | 31 | 3.99 | 8 | 7 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 26 | 35.2 | 40 | 3.79 | 9 | 0 |
| Steven Okert | 23 | 24.1 | 33 | 1.85 | 7 | 0 |
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- The Blue Jays have a 15-8 record in games this season when they hit two or more homers.
- Toronto has collected at least five extra-base hits in 10 games this season, and has gone 9-1 in those contests.
- The club has totaled eight or more hits in 62 games this season, and is 38-24 in those contests.
- Toronto is 29-10 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Blue Jays are 11-6 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 25 games this season and are 8-17 in those matchups.
- Miami has gone 12-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 36-26 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 38 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 28-10.
- In 19 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 8-11
Blue Jays vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Marlins (+115)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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