The Baltimore Orioles (45-27) will look to Anthony Santander, riding a two-game homer streak, versus the Tampa Bay Rays (51-25) at 12:10 PM ET on Wednesday, at Tropicana Field.
The Orioles are an underdog (+123 moneyline odds to win) when they take on the Rays (-145). The contest has an over/under of 8.
The betting insights in this article are based off odds valid as of June 21, 2023 at 9:12 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rays vs Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -145 | +123 | 8 |
Rays Betting Insights
- This season, the Rays have been favored 65 times and won 46, or 70.8%, of those games.
- This season Tampa Bay has won 34 of its 43 games, or 79.1%, when favored by at least -145 on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 59.2% chance of a victory for the Rays.
- Games involving Tampa Bay has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 41 of 76 chances this season.
- In 76 games with a spread this season, the Rays are 45-31-0 ATS.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 3.77 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have been victorious in 19, or 50%, of the 38 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Baltimore has a win-loss record of 6-7 when favored by +123 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 44.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in 35 of its 72 opportunities.
- The Orioles are 45-27-0 against the spread in their 72 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 3.78 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Taj Bradley
- When Bradley starts, his team is 4-5-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed 4 1/3 innings while giving up two earned runs on four hits in a matchup with the Oakland Athletics.
- Bradley has made six starts of five or more innings in nine chances this season, and averages 4.8 frames when he pitches.
- He has finished two appearances without allowing an earned run in nine chances this season.
- When Bradley starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 5-4.
- Bradley’s team has won five of his nine starts this season.
- In Bradley’s nine starts with a total, the teams have hit the over five times.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Adam | 31 | 31.1 | 40 | 2.59 | 7 | 10 |
| Colin Poche | 29 | 26.2 | 19 | 2.36 | 11 | 1 |
| Jake Diekman | 29 | 24.1 | 25 | 5.18 | 7 | 0 |
| Kevin Kelly | 27 | 32.1 | 28 | 3.34 | 8 | 2 |
| Robert Stephenson | 25 | 20.2 | 26 | 4.35 | 8 | 0 |
Orioles Probable Pitcher – Tyler Wells
- Wells (6-2) gets the starting nod for the Orioles in his 14th start of the season. He has a 3.20 ERA in 81 2/3 innings pitched, with 82 strikeouts.
- His last time out came on Thursday against the Toronto Blue Jays, when the right-hander threw 6 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Wells is seeking his 15th straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.8 innings per start.
- In three of his appearances this season he has not surrender an earned run.
- The Orioles have a 1-2 record in Wells’ three starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Wells’ team has a 9-4 record in his starts this season.
- Wells has had 13 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in five of those matchups.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Baumann | 33 | 37.1 | 40 | 4.34 | 5 | 0 |
| Bryan Baker | 32 | 30 | 38 | 4.2 | 10 | 0 |
| Felix Bautista | 31 | 34.2 | 69 | 1.04 | 0 | 20 |
| Yeinier Cano | 30 | 37.1 | 34 | 0.96 | 17 | 4 |
| Danny Coulombe | 30 | 25.1 | 34 | 2.49 | 14 | 0 |
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays have racked up at least two homers in 39 games this season, and are 30-9 in those outings.
- Tampa Bay is 23-2 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 39-21 in the games this season it has collected at least eight hits.
- Tampa Bay is 39-15 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Rays have drawn five or more walks in 21 games this season, and are 17-4 in those contests.
Orioles Hitting Trends
- They have won 22 of the 31 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Baltimore has won 19 of its 21 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 48 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 33-15.
- Baltimore has a 34-8 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 16-3 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Rays vs. Orioles Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (-145)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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