The Chicago Cubs (35-38) hope to sweep the Pittsburgh Pirates (34-38) on Wednesday at PNC Park, beginning at 12:35 PM ET.
The Cubs (-111 on the moneyline) play the Pirates (-107) in an expected close matchup. The total for the game is 8 total runs.
The insights in the following article reference odds valid as of June 21, 2023 at 9:12 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Cubs vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | -111 | -107 | 8 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have won 20, or 55.6%, of the 36 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Chicago has a record of 20-14, a 58.8% win rate, when favored by -111 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The Cubs have a 52.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 35 of its 73 games with a total this season.
- The Cubs are 38-35-0 ATS in their 73 games with a spread this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.5 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.44 |
| K/9 | 7 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have come away with 22 wins in the 53 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 21-31 when favored by -107 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 51.7% chance of walking away with the win.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over in 35 of its 72 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- In 72 games with a line this season, the Pirates have a mark of 33-39-0 against the spread.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 1-9 |
| Runs Per Game | 2 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 6.00 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Kyle Hendricks
- Hendricks and his team have a record of 3-2-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Friday, when he tossed five innings while giving up two earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the Baltimore Orioles.
- Hendricks has pitched five or more innings in four straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has made five appearances and finished one of them without allowing an earned run.
- Hendricks’ team won his only start as a favorite this season.
- Hendricks’ team has won three of his five starts this season.
- In Hendricks’ five starts with a total, the teams have hit the over two times.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Fulmer | 30 | 30.2 | 35 | 5.28 | 6 | 1 |
| Julian Merryweather | 30 | 31.1 | 44 | 3.16 | 3 | 0 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 28 | 30.2 | 46 | 2.64 | 12 | 3 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 25 | 33 | 34 | 1.91 | 7 | 4 |
| Michael Rucker | 22 | 28.1 | 32 | 4.45 | 0 | 0 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Rich Hill
- The Pirates are sending Hill (6-6) to make his 15th start of the season. He is 6-6 with a 4.42 ERA and 72 strikeouts over 77 1/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent time out was on Saturday against the Milwaukee Brewers, when the left-hander went five innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing three hits.
- Hill will try to build upon a seven-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.5 innings per outing).
- He has had one outing this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Pirates have a 4-6 record in Hill’s 10 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Hill’s team is 7-7 over his 14 starts.
- Hill’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in six of 14 games.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauri Moreta | 31 | 33 | 44 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| David Bednar | 26 | 26 | 31 | 1.73 | 0 | 14 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 19 | 24.1 | 14 | 5.18 | 3 | 2 |
| Angel Perdomo | 8 | 9 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Chase De Jong | 6 | 11.1 | 7 | 13.5 | 0 | 0 |
Cubs Hitting Trends
- The Cubs are 15-12 this season in games when they crush at least two long balls.
- Chicago has had at least five extra-base hits in 13 games this season, and has gone 11-2 in those outings.
- The team has racked up at least eight hits in 48 games this season, and is 34-14 in those contests.
- Chicago has a 26-6 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Cubs are 15-14 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They have won 16 of the 20 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 15-2.
- They have won 24 of the 33 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Pittsburgh has won 21 of its 25 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 12-10 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Cubs vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-111)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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