Tigers vs. Royals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 21, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 21, 2023

The Detroit Tigers (31-41) and Kansas City Royals (20-53) play a rubber match on Wednesday at 1:10 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.

The Tigers are favored (-142 moneyline odds to win) when they host the Royals (+121). The contest has an over/under of 8.5.

The betting trends in the following article use the latest odds as of June 21, 2023 at 1:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Tigers vs Royals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Tigers -142 +121 8.5

Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Tigers have been favorites in eight games this season and won five (62.5%) of those contests.
  • This season Detroit has won one of its four games when favored by at least -142 on the moneyline.
  • The Tigers have a 58.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Detroit and its opponents have hit the over in 39 of its 73 games with a total this season.
  • In 73 games with a spread this season, the Tigers are 40-33-0 ATS.

Tigers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.0
HR 15
ERA 4.10
K/9 9.3

Royals Betting Insights

  • The Royals have been victorious in 17, or 28.3%, of the 60 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Kansas City has been victorious 14 times in 48 chances when named as an underdog of at least +121 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Royals have an implied victory probability of 45.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Kansas City’s games have gone over the total in 31 of its 73 opportunities.
  • The Royals are 28-45-0 against the spread in their 73 games that had a posted line this season.

Royals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 3.3
HR 6
ERA 5.73
K/9 6.9

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Tigers Probable Pitcher – Matthew Boyd

  • Boyd and his team are 7-6-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw six innings against the Minnesota Twins, giving up four earned runs while allowing seven hits.
  • Boyd has pitched five or more innings in four straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • He has yet to finish an appearance without an earned run allowed this season.
  • Boyd’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
  • In games Boyd has started, his team is 7-6.
  • Out of Boyd’s 13 starts with a total this season, seven have hit the over.

Tigers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Alex Lange 30 29.1 38 3.99 2 11
Jason Foley 30 31.1 28 2.30 11 3
José Cisnero 29 28.2 31 2.20 6 1
Chasen Shreve 28 28 29 3.86 8 0
Tyler Holton 20 38.2 30 2.09 2 0

Royals Probable Pitcher – Brady Singer

  • The Royals will send Singer (4-6) to the mound to make his 15th start of the season. He is 4-6 with a 6.33 ERA and 65 strikeouts over 69 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last appearance on Saturday against the Los Angeles Angels, the righty went 5 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
  • Singer enters the game with 10 outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
  • In one of his 14 total appearances this season he has not allowed an earned run.
  • The Royals are 4-4 in Singer’s eight starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Singer’s team is 6-8 in his 14 starts.
  • Singer’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in seven of 14 games.

Royals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jose Cuas 30 30.1 39 4.15 2 0
Taylor Clarke 27 32 36 3.66 8 0
Aroldis Chapman 25 25.1 45 2.84 8 2
Scott Barlow 24 26.2 37 4.05 0 8
Carlos Hernandez 23 35.2 44 4.79 3 0

Tigers Hitting Trends

  • The Tigers are 10-7 this season in games when they hit two or more long balls.
  • Detroit has gone 9-4 in its 13 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team has totaled eight or more hits 40 times this season, and has a 30-10 record in those games.
  • Detroit is 27-7 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Tigers have gone 14-8 in the 22 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Royals Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 16 games this season and are 5-11 in those matchups.
  • Kansas City has won seven of its 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have a record of 15-28 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Kansas City has a 12-10 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won two of their 12 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Tigers vs. Royals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Tigers (-142)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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