The Houston Astros (40-34) and New York Mets (34-39) meet on Wednesday at 2:10 PM ET at Minute Maid Park, attempting to break a 1-1 series tie.
The Mets are an underdog (+121 on the moneyline) when they square off against the Astros (-142). The over/under for this game is set at 8.5.
The betting insights in the following article use the latest odds as of June 21, 2023 at 1:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -142 | +121 | 8.5 |
Astros Betting Insights
- This season, the Astros have won 28 out of the 54 games, or 51.9%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Houston is 22-15 this season when entering a game favored by -142 or more on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 58.7% chance of a victory for the Astros.
- Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 36 of its 74 games with a total this season.
- The Astros are 35-39-0 against the spread in their 74 chances this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.4 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.45 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have been victorious in eight, or 34.8%, of the 23 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- New York has won all of its four games in which it was named as at least a +121 moneyline underdog.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 45.2% chance of walking away with the win.
- New York’s games have gone over the total in 34 of its 74 opportunities.
- The Mets have an against the spread record of 28-46-0 in 74 games with a line this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.30 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – Cristian Javier
- Javier’s team is 9-5-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Friday, when he allowed five hits in six scoreless innings against the Washington Nationals.
- Javier has pitched five or more innings in 14 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- In 14 appearances this season, he has finished one without allowing an earned run.
- Javier’s team has won 60% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-4).
- Javier’s team is 10-4 when he starts this season.
- Out of Javier’s 14 starts with a total this season, 10 have hit the over.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 32 | 34.2 | 53 | 2.08 | 10 | 2 |
| Phil Maton | 31 | 35.2 | 39 | 1.51 | 4 | 0 |
| Rafael Montero | 30 | 29.2 | 33 | 6.67 | 4 | 1 |
| Ryan Pressly | 29 | 30.1 | 32 | 3.26 | 0 | 13 |
| Héctor Neris | 28 | 29 | 32 | 1.24 | 13 | 2 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – Tylor Megill
- Megill (6-4) takes the mound first for the Mets in his 15th start of the season. He has a 4.83 ERA in 69 2/3 innings pitched, with 56 strikeouts.
- His last time out was on Friday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when the right-hander went six innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing four hits.
- Megill is looking to record his 10th start of five or more innings this year in this matchup.
- In one of his 14 total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
- The Mets are 4-4 in Megill’s eight starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Megill’s team has won seven of his 14 starts.
- Megill’s starts went over the run total four times in 14 games with a set total this season.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 31 | 28.1 | 29 | 4.13 | 7 | 5 |
| Brooks Raley | 29 | 24.1 | 25 | 2.96 | 13 | 1 |
| David Robertson | 28 | 31.1 | 40 | 1.72 | 6 | 10 |
| Jeff Brigham | 26 | 26.2 | 29 | 4.05 | 5 | 0 |
| Dominic Leone | 16 | 18.1 | 16 | 3.93 | 0 | 0 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros are 14-6 this season in games when they crush at least two long balls.
- Houston has had at least five extra-base hits in 15 games this season, and has gone 11-4 in those outings.
- The club is 40-11 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
- Houston has a 37-6 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Astros have drawn at least five walks in 21 games this season, and are 16-5 in those contests.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 23 games this season and are 10-13 in those matchups.
- New York has won six of its 10 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 42 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 27-15.
- New York has a 27-13 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 15 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 7-8
Astros vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (-142)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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