The Arizona Diamondbacks (44-30) and Milwaukee Brewers (38-35) play on Wednesday at 2:10 PM ET at American Family Field, attempting to break a 1-1 series tie.
The Brewers are an underdog (+126 moneyline odds) when they square off against the Diamondbacks (-149). The matchup has an over/under of 9 total runs.
The betting trends in the following article reference odds valid as of June 21, 2023 at 1:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks | -149 | +126 | 9 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have been favorites in 34 games this season and won 23 (67.6%) of those contests.
- Arizona has a record of 14-4 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -149 on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 59.8% chance to win.
- Arizona’s games have gone over the total in 36 of its 74 chances.
- The Diamondbacks have an ATS record of 45-29-0 in 74 games with a spread this season.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.70 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have won in 16, or 50%, of the 32 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Milwaukee has been victorious seven times in 16 chances when named as an underdog of at least +126 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 44.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 31 of its 73 opportunities.
- The Brewers are 33-40-0 against the spread in their 73 games that had a posted line this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.35 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
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Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Zac Gallen
- Gallen and his team have a record of 10-5-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw seven innings against the Cleveland Guardians, giving up one earned run while allowing six hits.
- Gallen has pitched five or more innings in five straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- In 15 appearances this season, he has finished five without allowing an earned run.
- Gallen’s team has been victorious in 70% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 7-3.
- Gallen’s team has won 10 of his 15 starts.
- Games started by Gallen have an 8-6-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McGough | 31 | 37 | 42 | 2.68 | 12 | 3 |
| Kyle Nelson | 30 | 26.2 | 32 | 3.04 | 6 | 0 |
| Miguel Castro | 30 | 30 | 25 | 3.60 | 8 | 7 |
| Andrew Chafin | 29 | 25.1 | 38 | 2.84 | 9 | 8 |
| José Ruiz | 27 | 33.2 | 31 | 5.88 | 1 | 0 |
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Julio Teheran
- Teheran (2-2 with a 1.78 ERA and 20 strikeouts in 30 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Brewers, his sixth of the season.
- In his last outing on Saturday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, the righty went six innings, giving up two earned runs while surrendering one hit.
- Teheran is aiming for his sixth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.0 innings per start.
- In one of his appearances this season he has not surrender an earned run.
- The Brewers have been the moneyline underdog in three of Teherán’s starts this season, and they went 1-2 in those games.
- Teherán’s team has a 2-3 record in his starts this season.
- Teherán’s starts hit the over on the run total one time in five games with a set total this season.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 31 | 28.1 | 24 | 2.86 | 5 | 0 |
| Peter Strzelecki | 30 | 31.1 | 32 | 4.88 | 14 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 30 | 33.1 | 37 | 2.43 | 12 | 1 |
| Devin Williams | 24 | 24.2 | 35 | 1.82 | 0 | 13 |
| Bryse Wilson | 23 | 35.1 | 28 | 2.80 | 2 | 3 |
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- The Diamondbacks have a 23-7 record in games this season when they hit two or more home runs.
- Arizona has collected five or more extra-base hits in 22 games this season, and has gone 17-5 in those outings.
- The team has collected at least eight hits in 58 games this season, and is 43-15 in those contests.
- Arizona has a 43-8 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Diamondbacks are 14-15 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Brewers Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 36 games this season and are 30-6 in those matchups.
- Milwaukee has won each of its five games this season in which it has connected for five or more extra-base hits.
- They have a record of 27-9 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 41 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 37-4.
- In 26 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 19-7
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (+126)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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