The Boston Red Sox (39-35) will look to Alex Verdugo, on an 11-game hitting streak, versus the Minnesota Twins (36-38) at 7:40 PM ET on Wednesday, at Target Field.
The Red Sox are an underdog (+102 on the moneyline to win) when they visit the Twins (-119). The matchup has an over/under set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting trends in the article below are based off odds valid as of June 21, 2023 at 7:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -119 | +102 | 8.5 |
Twins Betting Insights
- This season, the Twins have won 27 out of the 45 games, or 60%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Minnesota is 26-16 this season when entering a game favored by -119 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 54.3%.
- Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 32 of its 74 games with a total this season.
- The Twins are 34-40-0 ATS in their 74 games with a spread this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.76 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have been victorious in 20, or 47.6%, of the 42 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Boston has come away with a win 15 times in 34 chances when named as an underdog of at least +102 or longer on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 49.5% chance of pulling out a win.
- Boston and its opponents have gone over in 41 of its 74 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Red Sox are 38-36-0 against the spread in their 74 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.3 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 2.74 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Sonny Gray
- Gray’s team is 6-8-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed three hits in four innings pitched against the Detroit Tigers on Thursday.
- In 14 starts this season, Gray has lasted five or more innings 12 times, with an average of 5.4 innings per appearance.
- In 14 appearances this season, he has finished three without allowing an earned run.
- Gray’s team has won 55.6% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (5-4).
- Gray’s team is 7-7 when he starts this season.
- Games Gray has started this season hit the over six times in 14 chances.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 32 | 31 | 32 | 3.19 | 8 | 1 |
| Jovani Moran | 26 | 29.1 | 32 | 4.60 | 7 | 0 |
| Emilio Pagán | 25 | 31.2 | 28 | 3.98 | 0 | 0 |
| Jhoan Duran | 25 | 27 | 36 | 1.33 | 1 | 9 |
| Brock Stewart | 21 | 22 | 28 | 0.82 | 6 | 1 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Garrett Whitlock
- Whitlock makes the start for the Red Sox, his eighth of the season. He is 4-2 with a 4.38 ERA and 33 strikeouts in 39 2/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent time out was on Wednesday, June 14 against the Colorado Rockies, when the righty went seven innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up six hits.
- Whitlock is looking for his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.6 innings per start.
- He allowed at least one earned run in each of his outings in 2023.
- The Red Sox have a 1-2 record in Whitlock’s three starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Whitlock’s team has won five of his seven starts.
- Whitlock’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in three of seven contests.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Winckowski | 25 | 42.1 | 31 | 2.34 | 9 | 2 |
| Kenley Jansen | 23 | 23.2 | 28 | 3.04 | 0 | 15 |
| Chris Martin | 22 | 21.2 | 18 | 2.08 | 12 | 1 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 18 | 21.1 | 20 | 2.53 | 1 | 0 |
| Kaleb Ort | 14 | 17.2 | 20 | 6.11 | 1 | 0 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins have racked up two or more round-trippers in 37 games this season, and are 30-7 in those contests.
- Minnesota is 22-1 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has strung together at least eight hits 45 times this season, and has a 35-10 record in those games.
- Minnesota is 36-4 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Twins have drawn five or more walks in 26 games this season, and are 16-10 in those contests.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They have won 16 of the 25 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 24 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 16-8.
- They have a record of 32-22 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Boston has a 33-9 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 11-10 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-119)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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