The Miami Marlins (42-31) bring a five-game winning streak into a home contest versus the Toronto Blue Jays (39-35) at 6:40 PM ET on Tuesday.
The Blue Jays are an underdog (+100 on the moneyline) when they square off against the Marlins (-118). The matchup has an over/under set at 7.5 total runs.
The insights in what follows reflect odds as of June 20, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Blue Jays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -118 | +100 | 7.5 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have won 21, or 63.6%, of the 33 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- This season Miami has won 19 of its 27 games, or 70.4%, when favored by at least -118 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Marlins, based on the moneyline, is 54.1%.
- Games involving Miami has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 33 of 73 chances this season.
- The Marlins are 35-38-0 ATS in their 73 games with a spread this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.41 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- The Blue Jays have come away with 11 wins in the 23 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Toronto has been victorious seven times in 15 chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Blue Jays have a 50% chance of walking away with the win.
- Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 34 of its 74 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Blue Jays have posted a record of 33-41-0 against the spread this season.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 6.07 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Eury Perez
- When Perez starts, his team is 5-2-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed six innings without allowing a run on two hits in a matchup with the Seattle Mariners.
- Perez will look to finish five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
- In seven appearances this season, he has finished three without allowing an earned run.
- Perez’s team is 2-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Perez’s team has a 4-3 record in his starts this season.
- Out of Perez’s seven starts with a total this season, two have hit the over.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nardi | 31 | 31.2 | 39 | 2.27 | 5 | 2 |
| Tanner Scott | 29 | 34 | 48 | 2.91 | 12 | 2 |
| Dylan Floro | 28 | 28.1 | 28 | 4.13 | 8 | 7 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 26 | 35.2 | 40 | 3.79 | 9 | 0 |
| Steven Okert | 23 | 24.1 | 33 | 1.85 | 7 | 0 |
Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Yusei Kikuchi
- Kikuchi (6-2 with a 4.31 ERA and 71 strikeouts in 71 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Blue Jays, his 15th of the season.
- His last time out came on Thursday against the Baltimore Orioles, when the lefty threw 4 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing six hits.
- Kikuchi heads into this game with nine outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in two of his 14 outings this season.
- The Blue Jays have a 3-2 record in Kikuchi’s five starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Kikuchi’s team has a 9-5 record in his starts this season.
- Kikuchi’s starts hit the over on the run total six times in 14 games with a set total this season.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Mayza | 34 | 25 | 24 | 1.44 | 7 | 1 |
| Erik Swanson | 32 | 33.2 | 41 | 2.67 | 17 | 1 |
| Yimi Garcia | 31 | 30.1 | 38 | 5.64 | 8 | 0 |
| Jordan Romano | 29 | 29.1 | 37 | 2.76 | 1 | 20 |
| Adam Cimber | 22 | 20.2 | 12 | 7.40 | 1 | 1 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins are 8-17 this season in games when they hit at least two bombs.
- Miami has gone 12-1 in its 13 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has racked up at least eight hits in 62 games this season, and is 36-26 in those contests.
- Miami has a 28-10 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Marlins are 8-11 in the 19 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- They are 15-8 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 10 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 9-1.
- They have a record of 38-24 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Toronto has won 29 of its 39 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 17 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 11-6
Marlins vs. Blue Jays Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Marlins (-118)
Over/Under Pick: Under (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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